Manifold MarketsGeen KYCHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspelling+3% or more (>=68%) 12.2%Koploper van 7 uitkomsten
Voorspellers
4
Vraagtype
multiple choice
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 29 dagen geleden
Verouderd8 jun 26, 11:282 mei 27, 3:59
Trends
Alleen virtueel geld, geen echt geldGeen financieel advies
Gekozen uitkomst
+3% or more (>=68%)12%
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Each year, Gallup runs a survey asking Americans "Do you think marriages between same-sex couples should or should not be recognized by the law as valid, with the same rights as traditional marriages?" The most recent such poll, run in May 2026, showed support at 65%.
- How much will the results change between then and the May 2027 poll?
- Since 2016, the results have been, in chronological order: 61%, 64%, 67%, 63%, 67%, 70%, 71%, 71%, 69%, 68%, 65%.
- I will not bet on this market.