By when will 5% of Americans cite "advancement of computers/technology" as the US's biggest problem? (Gallup)
AI8jManifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingBy end of 2035 70.6%Koploper van 11 uitkomsten
Voorspellers
23
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multiple choice
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
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Voorspelling
7d wijziging
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Bijgewerkt 8 uur geleden
Verouderd6 feb 26, 09:31 UTC31 dec 34, 23:59 UTC
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Resolution Criteria:
- This question resolves to the year in which the trailing four-month average reaches ≥5% of Americans giving answers classified as "advancement of computers/technology" to the question: What do you think is the most important problem facing the country today?
- Resolution is based on the monthly updated Gallup website.
- On this website, "-" means 0% and "*" means <0.5%.
- For the purpose of this question, we will interpret "*" as 0.25%.
- If a new category named "AI" or similar is added, we will either take the sum (if we determine there is no overlap in respondents) or the maximum (if we are unable to rule out overlap) between these categories.
