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Before 2036 69.2%Koploper van 10 uitkomsten
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multiple choice
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Verouderd6 aug 26, 01:39 UTC1 jan 36, 07:59 UTC
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PolymarketRegels
Resolves YES if an autonomous robot electrician exists and can complete most residential service tasks.
- Also resolves YES if it's a team of robots and not a single robot.
- Evaluating the 50% threshold is going to be tricky - the ideal would be a company that has robot electricians and reports their success rate, but that seems unlikely.
- Some other options: - I ask service electricians to make a list their most common tasks, resolves YES if a robot can do those specific tasks (regardless of actual deployment) - No one is hiring human electricians any more - There's a sizable group of people depending on robot electricians for almost everything (even if we don't have a task success rate breakdown)
- Note that construction/remodeling work is not part of the question.
- Also note that I know almost nothing about electrical work, if this question is ill-posed in some way I may edit or resolve it N/A.
Open markten
TechKALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 8pm EDT?
- $78,400 or above99%
- $78,300 or above99%
- $78,200 or above99%
+97 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 944,1K
- 24u volume
- € 721,8K
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
- 90° or above+68.0pt95.2%
- 88° to 89°-22.0pt1%
- 84° to 85°-8.0pt1%
+3 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
KALSHIBTC 15 min · $78,442.97 target
- No73%
- Yes27%
- Totaal volume
- € 620K
- 24u volume
- € 536K
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- € 514,9K
- 24u volume
- € 496,9K
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- New Orleans+48.0pt99%
- Houston+70.0pt99%
- Minneapolis+17.0pt99%
+19 extra uitkomsten
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KALSHIHighest temperature in New York City on Sep 8, 2026?
- 80° to 81°+53.0pt95.2%
- 79° or below-3.0pt1%
- 82° to 83°-44.0pt1%
+3 extra uitkomsten
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor By what year will there be fully autonomous robotic electricians??
- Manifold Markets prijst Before 2036 op 69% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt By what year will there be fully autonomous robotic electricians? afgewikkeld?
- By what year will there be fully autonomous robotic electricians? wordt naar verwachting op 1 januari 2036 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt By what year will there be fully autonomous robotic electricians? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Resolves YES if an autonomous robot electrician exists and can complete most residential service tasks.