By EOY 2026, will Yann LeCun do a 180 on his view of x-risk from AI?

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Manifold Markets prijst No op 93.9% per 28 oktober 2026.

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By EOY 2026, will Yann LeCun do a 180 on his view of x-risk from AI? wordt naar verwachting op 1 januari 2027 afgewikkeld.

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KALSHI

Best AI at the end of 2026?

• Gemini+17.9pt48%
• Claude-17.3pt42.9%
• ChatGPT-0.2pt6.5%

+5 extra uitkomsten

Totaal volume

€ 14,2 mln.

24u volume

€ 149,5K

POLYMARKET

Anthropic IPO by which date?

• December 31,+1.2pt95%
• December 15,+1.0pt93%
• November 30,-2.0pt87%

+15 extra uitkomsten

POLYMARKET

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

• $1.75–$2.0T-5.0pt27.7%
• $2.0–$2.25T+1.6pt23.8%
• $1.5–$1.75T-0.7pt15.8%

+7 extra uitkomsten

POLYMARKET

Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

• Google+17.5pt53.6%
• Anthropic-18.0pt39.2%
• OpenAI-0.3pt5.2%

+12 extra uitkomsten

POLYMARKET

Which company has the best AI model end of October?

• Google+4.7pt98%
• Anthropic-4.1pt2%
• Alibaba-0.1pt0%

+18 extra uitkomsten

POLYMARKET

What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?

• <$1T-7.5pt22%
• $1.25T–$1.5T+1.2pt20%
• $1.5T–$1.75T+1.9pt19%

+5 extra uitkomsten

• When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
• Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
• Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by which date?
• How much will Anthropic raise in its IPO?
• Which bank will lead Anthropic's IPO?
• Best Chinese AI Company end of October?
• GPT Astra 6.1+ released by which date?
• OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
• Moonshot AI share of spend on Oct 28, 2026 (Vercel)
• Gemini Carbon released by which date?