By 2040, will we believe the Great Sphinx was built substantially before the pyramids at Giza?
One-OffSociety & Culture14jManifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 74.6%
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Verouderd9 aug 23, 07:00 UTC1 jan 41, 15:59 UTC
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KalshiRegels
This is a popular theory, but one unaccepted by the mainstream.
- https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Great_Sphinx_of_Giza#History
- I am defining 'substantially before' as 'before the Fourth Dynasty' (which was when the pyramids at Giza were built).(approx. 2600 BC)
- 'we believe' is tricky.
- If, before 2040, the Wikipedia entry for the Great Sphinx says that an earlier build date is either generally accepted or just the most likely theory, this resolves YES (as long as the Wikipedia page has stabilised).
- If, on 1.1.2040, the Wikipedia page says that this question is unclear, and that an earlier build date is approximately similarly credible to alternatives, this will resolve to 50/50.
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor By 2040, will we believe the Great Sphinx was built substantially before the pyramids at Giza??
- Manifold Markets prijst No op 74.6% per 23 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt By 2040, will we believe the Great Sphinx was built substantially before the pyramids at Giza? afgewikkeld?
- By 2040, will we believe the Great Sphinx was built substantially before the pyramids at Giza? wordt naar verwachting op 1 januari 2041 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt By 2040, will we believe the Great Sphinx was built substantially before the pyramids at Giza? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: This is a popular theory, but one unaccepted by the mainstream.