Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensGoed gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingJa 71.5%
Voorspellers
50
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 10 uur geleden
Verouderd2 okt 23, 01:12 UTC2 jan 29, 06:59 UTC
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Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
By 2029, will an AI be able to generate Video Games comparable to ~2023 'AA' Mid Market Games?
Manifold MarketsBy 2029, will an AI be able to generate Video Games comparable to ~2023 'AA' Mid Market Games?
Manifold MarketsIn early 2029, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie to a prompt?
Manifold MarketsIn 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie to a prompt?
Manifold MarketsVideo games released this year
KalshiVideo Games Ad Spend in October
KalshiRegels
A single AI system must be able to use an arbitrary prompt to generate single player video games from any genre that exists today in 2023.
- The generated games should be comparable in quality to indie games made before the year 2024 with a budget of less than $1,000,000.
- The AI doesn't have to be available to the public, as long as it's confirmed to exist.
- I will not bet on this market.
