By 2028, which country other than USA/China will be most important to AI?

ChinaOne-Off1j

Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensGoed gekalibreerd

Waarschuwing datakwaliteitVerouderde gegevens

Gegevens van 20 jul 2026, 14:20 UTC · beleid pm-quality-2

Huidige gemeenschapsvoorspelling

UK 33.3%+2.4%

Koploper van 11 uitkomsten

Voorspellers

192

Vraagtype

multiple choice

Methodologie

Play-money forecasting platform

Brontype

Voorspelling

Marktdata

Bijgewerkt 5 dagen geleden

Verouderd

24 nov 23, 14:041 jan 28, 4:59

Trends

Uitkomst24uKans

Alleen virtueel geld, geen echt geldGeen financieel advies

Gekozen uitkomst

UK33%

Inzet (USDT)

Regels

Note that this question DOES NOT include importance via physical chip manufacturing and supply chain, which is why Taiwan and The Netherlands are not listed.

To avoid confusion and get at the question being asked, that is explicitly excluded.
If unclear, will resolve via best available consensus mechanism.
Will pick one winner even if unclear.
Will add additional countries upon reasonable request.
Motivation: Claim in Economist that UAE might be third most important (https://twitter.com/shashj/status/1727991912567583052)

Volumetrend

$486

19 jul2d aan data20 jul

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€ 21,5K

Nova Esports: 52%

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Actief in deze onderwerpen

BitcoinBTC$64,505.23+0.68%

EthereumETH$1,886.97+1.55%

SolanaSOL$75.06+1.53%

XRPXRP$1.10+0.93%

DogecoinDOGE$0.0734+5.64%

BNBBNB$570.76+0.87%

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Regels

Note that this question DOES NOT include importance via physical chip manufacturing and supply chain, which is why Taiwan and The Netherlands are not listed.

To avoid confusion and get at the question being asked, that is explicitly excluded.
If unclear, will resolve via best available consensus mechanism.
Will pick one winner even if unclear.
Will add additional countries upon reasonable request.
Motivation: Claim in Economist that UAE might be third most important (https://twitter.com/shashj/status/1727991912567583052)

By 2028, which country other than USA/China will be most important to AI?

ChinaOne-Off1j

Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensGoed gekalibreerd

Waarschuwing datakwaliteitVerouderde gegevens

Gegevens van 20 jul 2026, 14:20 UTC · beleid pm-quality-2

Huidige gemeenschapsvoorspelling

UK 33.3%+2.4%

Koploper van 11 uitkomsten

Voorspellers

192

Vraagtype

multiple choice

Methodologie

Play-money forecasting platform

Brontype

Voorspelling

Marktdata

Bijgewerkt 5 dagen geleden

Verouderd

24 nov 23, 14:041 jan 28, 4:59

Trends

Uitkomst24uKans

Alleen virtueel geld, geen echt geldGeen financieel advies

Gekozen uitkomst

UK33%

Inzet (USDT)

Regels

Note that this question DOES NOT include importance via physical chip manufacturing and supply chain, which is why Taiwan and The Netherlands are not listed.

To avoid confusion and get at the question being asked, that is explicitly excluded.
If unclear, will resolve via best available consensus mechanism.
Will pick one winner even if unclear.
Will add additional countries upon reasonable request.
Motivation: Claim in Economist that UAE might be third most important (https://twitter.com/shashj/status/1727991912567583052)

Volumetrend

$486

19 jul2d aan data20 jul

Gerelateerde Markten

Valorant: FunPlus Phoenix vs Wolves Esports (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Seed Deciders

€ 222,7K

Match Winner: 100%

POLYMARKET

Valorant: Nova Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Seed Deciders

€ 58,6K

1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5: 63%

POLYMARKET

Wolves Esports vs. FunPlus Phoenix

€ 47,2K

FunPlus Phoenix: 78%

KALSHI

Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Beijing Guoan FC

€ 38,2K

Chengdu Rongcheng: 47%

POLYMARKET

Wolves Esports vs. FunPlus Phoenix: Map 2

€ 25,1K

Wolves Esports: 27%

KALSHI

Bilibili Gaming vs. Nova Esports

€ 21,5K

Nova Esports: 52%

KALSHI

Actief in deze onderwerpen

BitcoinBTC$64,505.23+0.68%

EthereumETH$1,886.97+1.55%

SolanaSOL$75.06+1.53%

XRPXRP$1.10+0.93%

DogecoinDOGE$0.0734+5.64%

BNBBNB$570.76+0.87%

Gerelateerd Nieuws

China completes first digital yuan payment to SingaporeCrypto News

Trump’s CLARITY push is now about beating ChinaCrypto News

Polymarket prices China–Japan clash at 7.5% after ICC dispute spotlights TokyoBlockchain.News

Polymarket Taiwan 2026 invasion Yes odds drop to 3.75% on $38.6M volumeBlockchain.News

DeepSeek plots $71B IPO to challenge OpenAI in global AI raceCrypto News

Chinese Prosecutors Float Treating Crypto Mixer, Privacy Coin Use as Sign of Money LaunderingDecrypt

Regels

Note that this question DOES NOT include importance via physical chip manufacturing and supply chain, which is why Taiwan and The Netherlands are not listed.

To avoid confusion and get at the question being asked, that is explicitly excluded.
If unclear, will resolve via best available consensus mechanism.
Will pick one winner even if unclear.
Will add additional countries upon reasonable request.
Motivation: Claim in Economist that UAE might be third most important (https://twitter.com/shashj/status/1727991912567583052)