Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspelling
Ja 97.3%
Voorspellers
44
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 10 uur geleden
Verouderd8 jun 23, 17:31 UTC24 mei 28, 03:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will Lex Fridman interview Vladimir Putin while he is still Russia's president?
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Manifold MarketsElon Musk # tweets September 10 - September 12, 2026?
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KalshiRegels
Top forecasters speculate that despite verification from the site admins, @LexFridman may not be the real Lex Fridman.
- This market will not resolve until DEFINITIVE proof emerges.
- Such proof would need to originate from an official channel, such as confirmation on Lex's twitter, podcast, etc.
Open markten
Society & CulturePOLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 10 - September 12, 2026?
- 40-64-2.0pt45.5%
- 65-89+1.0pt30.3%
- <40-5.5pt12.1%
+7 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 28,9K
- 24u volume
- € 25,3K
KALSHIWill California recognize Jewish identity as an ethnicity?
- No98%
- Yes-2.0pt2%
- Totaal volume
- € 6,8K
- 24u volume
- € 5,8K
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- Hurricane95%
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- Tariff86%
+13 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 6,1K
- 24u volume
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KALSHIWill Florida receive more visitors in 2026 than in 2025?
- No82%
- Yes18%
- Totaal volume
- € 18,1K
- 24u volume
- € 989,4
KALSHIWill Yellowstone record over 5 million recreation visits in 2026?
- No95%
- Yes-6.0pt5%
- Totaal volume
- € 15,4K
- 24u volume
- € 952,4
POLYMARKETPoilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?
- No+1.5pt80.2%
- Yes-1.5pt19.8%
- Totaal volume
- € 136,2K
- 24u volume
- € 247
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor But seriously, is @LexFridman the real Lex Fridman??
- Manifold Markets prijst Yes op 97% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt But seriously, is @LexFridman the real Lex Fridman? afgewikkeld?
- But seriously, is @LexFridman the real Lex Fridman? wordt naar verwachting op 24 mei 2028 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt But seriously, is @LexFridman the real Lex Fridman? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Top forecasters speculate that despite verification from the site admins, @LexFridman may not be the real Lex Fridman.