Brazil 2026 Election: Who Leads the Polling Average Two Months Before the Election? (1st Round)
PolitiekOne-OffVerkiezingSportSoccerLatin America7dManifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensGoed gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingLula 91.4%Koploper van 4 uitkomsten
Voorspellers
8
Vraagtype
multiple choice
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 24 minuten geleden
26 feb 26, 12:414 aug 26, 23:59
Trends
Alleen virtueel geld, geen echt geldGeen financieel advies
Gekozen uitkomst
Lula91%
Volumetrend
$5014 jul2d aan data15 jul
Gerelateerde Markten
Who will be Johannesburg's next Mayor?
€ 13,2Helen Zille: 46.3%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWho will win the Republican primary for the 2026 gubernatorial election in South Dakota
€ 173,6Larry Rhoden (Incumbent): 89.5%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill Infantino win the election for President of FIFA?
€ 15,2Ja: 87.1%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
SC Internacional vs. CR Flamengo
€ 2,3KCR Flamengo: 50%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETEC Vitória vs. SE Palmeiras
€ 869,7SE Palmeiras: 49%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Birmingham Legion FC vs New Mexico United
€ 858New Mexico United: 10%
KALSHI
KALSHIActief in deze onderwerpen
Gerelateerd Nieuws
Kalshi, Polymarket win pause against Minnesota's prediction market banCoindesk
Polymarket odds swing: Eizenkot hits 51% as Israel campaign kicks offBlockchain.News
Polymarket: Vance leads 2028 at 19.85% as pricing trend softensBlockchain.News%20Abstract%20Cryptocurrency.%20With%20a%20dark%20background%20and%20a%20world%20map-min.jpg)
Polymarket odds: Lula leads Brazil 2026 race at 61.5% after 12pp jumpBlockchain.News
Polymarket odds: Eizenkot tops Israel PM market at 42.7% on $26.9MBlockchain.NewsPolymarket odds show Vance at 19.85% as 2028 field stays fragmentedBlockchain.NewsRegels
At 23:59 BRT on Aug 4, 2026, take the most recently published national voting-intention polls (first-round, President) from Datafolha, Genial/Quaest, Ipec, AtlasIntel, Paraná Pesquisas, PoderData, and Ipespe.
- Only polls published within the last 15 days (i.e., Jul 20–Aug 4, 2026, inclusive) are eligible.
- Compute each candidate’s simple average (%) across the eligible polls (using the published topline national %).
- The market resolves to the candidate with the highest average.
- If tied, resolve to whoever is higher in the most recent eligible poll (then the next most recent, etc.) until the tie breaks.