Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 86.3%
Voorspellers
15
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 17 uur geleden
Verouderd24 nov 25, 07:43 UTC31 dec 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Candace Owens divorced by December 31, 2027?
PolymarketBrigitte Macron wins defamation suit against Candace Owens before 2028?
KalshiWill Candace Owens run for president before the end of 2032 as joked by Sam Harris?
Manifold MarketsWill Candace Owens ever become the President of the USA?
Manifold MarketsWill Candace Owens divorce George Farmer before the end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsNothing Ever Happens: 2026
PolymarketRegels
Candace Owen’s claimed on Twitter that French president, Emmanuel Macron, is plotting to have her murdered.
- The market resolves to Yes if at least one major news outlet (e.g., NYT, Washington Post, LA Times) reports that the incident was an independent attack on her.
- If any such report characterizes the incident as possibly staged or not clearly an independent attack, the market will not resolve to Yes.”