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Verouderd1 jul 26, 12:28 UTC31 dec 26, 23:59 UTC
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Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
At the end of 2026 will there be any European model that ranks higher than Mistral Medium 3.5 on arena.ai agent arena?
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PolymarketRegels
Resolves YES if there is a model released by a European company, listed on https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent, that ranks higher than at least one model that it currently listed on the leaderboard.
- The list of models on agent arena is currently:
- Claude Fable 5 (High)
- Claude Opus 4.8 (Thinking)
- GPT 5.5 (xHigh)
- Claude Opus 4.7
Open markten
AIKALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max-12.0pt72%
- claude-opus-5-high+2.0pt6%
- claude-opus-4-6-thinking4%
+3 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 135,2K
- 24u volume
- € 102,7K
POLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028+6.5pt62.1%
- 2027-3.5pt28.4%
- 2026+2.0pt9.5%
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,+3.5pt90%
- November 30,85%
+7 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-0.7pt61.4%
- ChatGPT-2.1pt22.8%
- Grok-0.1pt7.9%
+5 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 9,1 mln.
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+3.0pt81.3%
- ChatGPT-1.0pt11.2%
- Grok2.8%
+4 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 325K
POLYMARKETOpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- 1480+-2.5pt66%
- 1490+-9.0pt51%
- 1500+-3.0pt23%
+2 extra uitkomsten
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor At the end of 2026, will there be any European model that ranks higher than a model currently on LLM Agent Arena??
- Manifold Markets prijst Yes op 95% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt At the end of 2026, will there be any European model that ranks higher than a model currently on LLM Agent Arena? afgewikkeld?
- At the end of 2026, will there be any European model that ranks higher than a model currently on LLM Agent Arena? wordt naar verwachting op 31 december 2026 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt At the end of 2026, will there be any European model that ranks higher than a model currently on LLM Agent Arena? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Resolves YES if there is a model released by a European company, listed on https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent, that ranks higher than at least one model that it currently listed on the leaderboard.