Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor AI for AI 1: By when will there be an AI that can do "intern-level" ML engineering??

Manifold Markets prijst 2029-01-01 op 86.3% per 30 oktober 2026.

AI for AI 1: By when will there be an AI that can do "intern-level" ML engineering?

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2029-01-01 86.3%

Koploper van 6 uitkomsten

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Vraagtype

multiple choice

Methodologie

Play-money forecasting platform

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Voorspelling

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Bijgewerkt 21 uur geleden

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20 jun 24, 18:30 UTC2 jan 29, 07:59 UTC

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Options are inclusive: if this happens tomorrow then all options resolve to YES.

This market will of course resolve somewhat subjectively.
The overall idea is "there is a model that I can use instead of hiring an intern".
Some things I expect such a model to be able to do:
Take a paper as input and give a runnable rough draft implementation (does not need to be bug free)
Experiment with hyperparameters for an existing model ("grad student descent")