A Scott Aaronson style device predicting human actions and internal monologue demonstrated by the end of 2050.
One-OffAIWetenschapManifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 59.8%
Voorspellers
6
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 1 uur geleden
Vertraagd11 jun 25, 03:26 UTC31 dec 50, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Regels
This market resolves to 'Yes' if, by the end of 2050, a device or procedure is demonstrated or well documented in peer reviewed studies that can routinely predict an individual's specific physical actions and nearly perfect internal monologue over a two-minute interval based on starting conditions.
- It is acceptable if the prediction cannot happen in real time, so long as it is clearly provable the prediction received no data beyond initial starting conditions.
- The system must generalize and not work only under contrived conditions.
- It cannot result in death/clear neurological damage/maiming.
