2026 US Senate Election: will the party of the winner of this state's senate seat go on to win senate control?
One-OffPolitiekAmerikaanse politiekVerkiezingAmerikaanse tussentijdse verkiezingen 20266d
Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingOhio 82%Koploper van 10 uitkomsten
Voorspellers
17
Vraagtype
multiple choice
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
7d wijziging
0.0 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 5 uur geleden
Verouderd1 jun 26, 08:48 UTC4 nov 26, 23:59 UTC
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Each answer the resolves independently from each other.
- Resolves YES for a state, if the party who wins that senate seat controls the 2026 US Senate.
- In the case of a 50-50 tie, this is a republican controlled senate, because of the vice president's tie breaking vote.
- Example: if democrats win Alaska while republicans win Texas, with the end result being a republican controlled senate, then Alaska resolves NO while Texas resolves YES.
- You may add new answers on this market, but do note that non competitive states are discouraged because they will just be equivalent to the default "which party wins senate control" market.
- Update 2026-06-01 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): For independent candidates (e.g., Nebraska's Dan Osborn):
