🇺🇸🇨🇦 Will the U.S. and Canada reach a deal to prevent new 50% U.S. tariffs on Canadian imports by August 19, 2026?

Trade PolicyDaily

Manifold MarketsGeslotenGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerd

Deze markt is beslist: Yes (2.5%)

Afgewikkeld: 19 aug 2026, 05:08

Door provider geverifieerde afwikkeling

CoinRithm heeft provider-onderbouwd bewijs voor de winnaar en afwikkelingstijd van deze markt.

Huidige gemeenschapsvoorspelling

Nee 97.5%

Voorspellers

Vraagtype

binary

Methodologie

Play-money forecasting platform

Brontype

Voorspelling

Marktdata

Bijgewerkt gisteren

Verouderd

14 aug 26, 19:5318 aug 26, 20:59

Waarschijnlijkheidstijdlijn

Yes2.5%

No97.5%

Nee

97.5%

2.5%

Regels

Resolve YES if, before the new 50% U.S. tariffs on covered Canadian goods are scheduled to take effect on August 19, 2026, the United States and Canada officially announce an agreement that cancels, suspends, postpones, or materially reduces those tariffs.

An agreement in principle counts only if both governments officially confirm that it prevents or materially changes the scheduled August 19 tariffs.
Continuing negotiations, unofficial reports, or a unilateral statement that an agreement is “close” do not count.
Resolve NO if the tariffs take effect as scheduled without such an agreement.

🇺🇸🇨🇦 Will the U.S. and Canada reach a deal to prevent new 50% U.S. tariffs on Canadian imports by August 19, 2026?

Trade PolicyDaily

Manifold MarketsGeslotenGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerd

Deze markt is beslist: Yes (2.5%)

Afgewikkeld: 19 aug 2026, 05:08

Door provider geverifieerde afwikkeling

CoinRithm heeft provider-onderbouwd bewijs voor de winnaar en afwikkelingstijd van deze markt.

Huidige gemeenschapsvoorspelling

Nee 97.5%

Voorspellers

Vraagtype

binary

Methodologie

Play-money forecasting platform

Brontype

Voorspelling

Marktdata

Bijgewerkt gisteren

Verouderd

14 aug 26, 19:5318 aug 26, 20:59

Waarschijnlijkheidstijdlijn

Yes2.5%

No97.5%

Nee

97.5%

2.5%

Regels

An agreement in principle counts only if both governments officially confirm that it prevents or materially changes the scheduled August 19 tariffs.
Continuing negotiations, unofficial reports, or a unilateral statement that an agreement is “close” do not count.
Resolve NO if the tariffs take effect as scheduled without such an agreement.

Veelgestelde vragen

Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor 🇺🇸🇨🇦 Will the U.S. and Canada reach a deal to prevent new 50% U.S. tariffs on Canadian imports by August 19, 2026??: Manifold Markets prijst No op 98% per 20 augustus 2026.
Wanneer wordt 🇺🇸🇨🇦 Will the U.S. and Canada reach a deal to prevent new 50% U.S. tariffs on Canadian imports by August 19, 2026? afgewikkeld?: 🇺🇸🇨🇦 Will the U.S. and Canada reach a deal to prevent new 50% U.S. tariffs on Canadian imports by August 19, 2026? wordt naar verwachting op 18 augustus 2026 afgewikkeld.
Hoe wordt 🇺🇸🇨🇦 Will the U.S. and Canada reach a deal to prevent new 50% U.S. tariffs on Canadian imports by August 19, 2026? afgewikkeld?: Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Resolve YES if, before the new 50% U.S. tariffs on covered Canadian goods are scheduled to take effect on August 19, 2026, the United States and Canada officially announce an agreement that cancels, suspends, postpones, or materially reduces those tariffs.

🇺🇸🇨🇦 Will the U.S. and Canada reach a deal to prevent new 50% U.S. tariffs on Canadian imports by August 19, 2026?

🇺🇸🇨🇦 Will the U.S. and Canada reach a deal to prevent new 50% U.S. tariffs on Canadian imports by August 19, 2026?

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