Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspelling
Nee 71.5%
Voorspellers
4
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 4 uur geleden
Verouderd1 aug 26, 16:23 UTC2 nov 26, 07:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
🔮🌊 Will America get MORE WOKE in 2026? 🏳️⚧️✨
Manifold MarketsWill there be a signifikant growth of greenlands population after Trump offers money to each inhabitant?
Manifold MarketsWill the record for largest cabbage be broken before 2027?
Manifold MarketsPoilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?
PolymarketWill Prince Andrew testify publicly before Congress in 2026?
PredictItWill Pauline Hanson wear a burqa again in 2026?
PolymarketRegels
This market resolves YES if the unweighted average of the "Pro-Woke" responses to the following 5 recurring polling questions in 2026 is at least 2.0 percentage points higher than the 2025 Composite Baseline (52.6%).
- If the 2026 average is < 54.6%, the market resolves NO.
- The "Woke Vibe" Index Criteria
- The index is composed of 5 specific metrics from Gallup and PRRI.
- Each metric measures a different facet of "woke" culture (Gender, Race, Corporate/Economic Values).
- The Trans Acceptance Rebound
Open markten
Weather
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
- 88° to 89°+9.0pt37%
- 90° or above+11.0pt28%
- 86° to 87°-12.0pt25%
+3 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 232,5K
- 24u volume
- € 227,3K
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 8, 2026?
- Minneapolis+6.0pt99%
- Houston+41.0pt71%
- Miami-6.0pt69%
+19 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 186,1K
KALSHIHighest temperature in Miami on Sep 8, 2026?
- 92° to 93°+36.0pt81.7%
- 90° to 91°-29.0pt7.7%
- 94° or above+3.0pt7.7%
+3 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
KALSHIHighest temperature in New York City on Sep 8, 2026?
- 80° to 81°+25.0pt68.2%
- 82° to 83°-12.0pt24.3%
- 79° or below-3.0pt4.7%
+3 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Chengdu on September 9?
- 27°C+60.0pt93.9%
- 28°C-13.5pt6.1%
- 21°C or below-1.4pt0%
+8 extra uitkomsten
KALSHIWill a hurricane make landfall in Hawaii in 2026?
- No89%
- Yes-4.0pt11%
- Totaal volume
- € 66,7K
- 24u volume
- € 28,6K
- Highest temperature in Chicago on Sep 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Munich on September 9?
- Highest temperature in Austin on Sep 8, 2026?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Highest temperature in Minneapolis on Sep 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Tokyo on September 9?
- Highest temperature in San Francisco on Sep 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Philadelphia on Sep 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Dallas on Sep 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Houston on Sep 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Boston on Sep 8, 2026?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor 🔮🌊 Will America get MORE WOKE in 2026? 🏳️⚧️✨?
- Manifold Markets prijst No op 72% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt 🔮🌊 Will America get MORE WOKE in 2026? 🏳️⚧️✨ afgewikkeld?
- 🔮🌊 Will America get MORE WOKE in 2026? 🏳️⚧️✨ wordt naar verwachting op 2 november 2026 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt 🔮🌊 Will America get MORE WOKE in 2026? 🏳️⚧️✨ afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: This market resolves YES if the unweighted average of the "Pro-Woke" responses to the following 5 recurring polling questions in 2026 is at least 2.0 percentage points higher than the 2025 Composite Baseline (52.6%).