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Gegevens van 1 sep 2026, 03:00 UTC · beleid pm-quality-3
Huidige impliciete kans
Karoline Leavitt 50%Koploper van 5 uitkomsten
Marktkwaliteit
22 / 100
Lage kwaliteit24u volume
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Liquiditeit
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Liquiditeit onbekendMarktdata
Bijgewerkt 7 minuten geleden
26 aug 26, 14:111 jan 27, 14:59
Trends
Regels
the named outcome · the named outcome · the named outcome · the named outcome · the named outcome.
If the named outcome leaves as Chief of Staff before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
the named outcome must have an actual departure date by vacating the role within the time period.
If the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange.
- Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position.
- If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role.
For "leave," cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role—this includes both voluntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term.
Outcome verified from ABC News Australia, Bloomberg News, CNBC, CNN, Deutsche Welle, Financial Times, Fox News, MSNBC, official government records and registries, person, Politico, Reuters, the Associated Press, the body, agency, company, organization, or entity at which role is held, the New York Times, The Wall Street Journal, The Washington Post, and BBC.
Vergelijking van voorspellingsbronnen
3 handelsplatforms prijzen deze markt momenteel. De liquiditeitsgewogen referentiekans van CoinRithm voor Karoline Leavitt is 100%. De noteringen lopen ongeveer 50 procentpunten uiteen. De platforms zijn het er niet over eens welke uitkomst voorligt.
CoinRithm-referentie Karoline Leavitt 100% · 3 platforms · 50 pt spreiding tussen venues
- Ook beschikbaar op Gemini — Who will leave the Trump Administration in 2026? · Lori Chavez-DeRemer 100%
- Ook beschikbaar op Futuur — Who will leave the Trump administration in 2026? · Tulsi Gabbard 86%
- Ook beschikbaar op Kalshi — Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? · Karoline Leavitt 100%
Open markten
US Politics
KALSHIMassachusetts Democratic Senate nominee?
- Ed Markey+1.1pt100%
- Seth Moulton-0.9pt0%
- Ayanna Pressley0%
+1 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 3,5 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 2,1 mln.
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.3pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+0.2pt11%
- Jon Ossoff11%
+49 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- No-2.0pt82.2%
- Yes+2.0pt17.8%
- Totaal volume
- € 55,3 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 505,9K
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-0.2pt61%
- October 31+1.5pt39%
- September 30-1.0pt20%
+17 extra uitkomsten
KALSHI2028 Republican presidential nominee
- J.D. Vance+2.0pt45.5%
- Marco Rubio+3.0pt21.2%
- Ron DeSantis-0.3pt4%
+35 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance+2.8pt52%
- Marco Rubio+1.3pt18%
- Ron DeSantis+0.1pt3%
+39 extra uitkomsten
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- NATO x Russia military clash by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary?
- 2026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Generic ballot)
- Trump out as President before 2027?
- California Governor winner? (Person)
- Next round of US-Iran peace talks by which date?
- MA-08 Democratic nominee?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026??
- Limitless prijst Karoline Leavitt op 50% per 2 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? afgewikkeld?
- Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? wordt naar verwachting op 1 januari 2027 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? afgewikkeld?
- Limitless wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: the named outcome · the named outcome · the named outcome · the named outcome · the named outcome. <p>If the named outcome leaves as Chief of Staff before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.</p><p><br></p><p>the named outcome must have an actual departure date by vacating the role within the time period.</p><p><br></p><p>If the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange.
- Waar wordt Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? nog meer aangeboden?
- Dezelfde vraag wordt ook aangeboden op Gemini, Futuur, Kalshi.