LimitlessBeschikbaarheid controlerenGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensGrof gekalibreerdWaarschuwing datakwaliteitNiet zinvol geprijsd
Gegevens van 18 okt 2026, 04:25 UTC · beleid pm-quality-4
Huidige impliciete kans
Karoline Leavitt 50%Koploper van 5 uitkomsten
Karoline Leavitt 50%Marktkwaliteit
22 / 100
Lage kwaliteit24u volume
—
Liquiditeit
—
Liquiditeit onbekendMarktdata
Bijgewerkt 8 minuten geleden
26 aug 26, 14:11 UTC1 jan 27, 14:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will RFK Jr. have an official role in the Trump Administration at the start of 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill U.S. Under Secretary of State Sarah B. Rogers leave her role by EOY 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Katie Zacharia take another Trump administration role?
KalshiWill DeSantis have a role in Trump’s administration?
Manifold MarketsWhen will Katie Zacharia leave the role of White House Press Secretary?
FutuurWill Laura Loomer join the Trump administration in 2026?
KalshiRegels
the named outcome · the named outcome · the named outcome · the named outcome · the named outcome.
If the named outcome leaves as Chief of Staff before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
the named outcome must have an actual departure date by vacating the role within the time period.
If the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange.
- Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position.
- If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role.
For "leave," cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role—this includes both voluntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term.
Outcome verified from ABC News Australia, Bloomberg News, CNBC, CNN, Deutsche Welle, Financial Times, Fox News, MSNBC, official government records and registries, person, Politico, Reuters, the Associated Press, the body, agency, company, organization, or entity at which role is held, the New York Times, The Wall Street Journal, The Washington Post, and BBC.
Vergelijking van voorspellingsbronnen
- Ook beschikbaar op Polymarket — Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027? · Dan Bongino 100%
- Ook beschikbaar op Futuur — Who will leave the Trump administration in 2026? · Tulsi Gabbard 86%
- Ook beschikbaar op Manifold Markets — Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? · Susie Wiles 34%
