KalshiBeschikbaarheid controlerenKYC vereist2% kostenGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensGrof gekalibreerdHuidige impliciete kansSan Diego, CA 89%Koploper van 10 uitkomsten
Marktkwaliteit
49 / 100
Lage kwaliteit24u volume
€ 10,7
Liquiditeit
€ 25,6K
Hoge liquiditeitBied / Laat
81.0% / 86.0%
Spread
5.0 pt
Gematigde spreadMarktdata
Bijgewerkt 30 minuten geleden
13 mei 26, 23:0031 dec 26, 15:00
Trends
Alleen virtueel geld, geen echt geldGeen financieel advies
Gekozen uitkomst
Denver, CO80%
Platforms vergelijken· San Diego, CA
Gerangschikt op marktkwaliteit, dan liquiditeit en 24-uursvolume| Platform | Kwaliteit | Kans | vs. referentie | Volume 24u | Liquiditeit | Actualiteit | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KalshiDeze paginaBeste algemeen | Laag | 89% | — | € 10,7 | € 25,6K | 30 minuten geleden | |
 Manifold Markets85% overeenkomst · geverifieerd | — | 100% | — | — | — | 12 dagen geleden | Openen → |
Ook beschikbaar op Manifold Markets
Where will Waymo be available in 2026?
5mnd
100%
100%
100%
+16 extra uitkomsten
Gemeenschapsvoorspelling33 voorspellersType: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSRegels
If Waymo is operating commercial autonomous vehicle ride-hailing services available to the general public within Washington, DC before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- "Operating commercial services" means that members of the general public can download the Waymo app (or access Waymo through a partner app), request a ride with pickup and dropoff locations within Washington, DC, and receive autonomous vehicle service for a fee.
- The service must be available to the general public without requiring special invitation codes, waitlist approval, or participation in testing programs, though geographic coverage within Washington, DC may be limited to certain areas.
- Services operating exclusively with safety drivers present do not satisfy the Payout Criterion; the service must offer fully autonomous rides (without a human safety driver) at least some of the time.
- Examples that WOULD resolve to Yes:
- Waymo launches public commercial service in any part of Washington, DC Waymo expands from adjacent areas into Washington, DC limits Waymo operates 24/7 service or limited hours service within Washington, DC Waymo offers service through the Uber app to all users in Washington, DC Service is geofenced to only certain neighborhoods but is public
Vergelijkingsgegevens zijn alleen informatief. Prijzen en liquiditeit kunnen variëren.
Volumetrend
$122 jul26d aan data27 jul
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If Waymo is operating commercial autonomous vehicle ride-hailing services available to the general public within Washington, DC before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- "Operating commercial services" means that members of the general public can download the Waymo app (or access Waymo through a partner app), request a ride with pickup and dropoff locations within Washington, DC, and receive autonomous vehicle service for a fee.
- The service must be available to the general public without requiring special invitation codes, waitlist approval, or participation in testing programs, though geographic coverage within Washington, DC may be limited to certain areas.
- Services operating exclusively with safety drivers present do not satisfy the Payout Criterion; the service must offer fully autonomous rides (without a human safety driver) at least some of the time.
- Examples that WOULD resolve to Yes:
- Waymo launches public commercial service in any part of Washington, DC Waymo expands from adjacent areas into Washington, DC limits Waymo operates 24/7 service or limited hours service within Washington, DC Waymo offers service through the Uber app to all users in Washington, DC Service is geofenced to only certain neighborhoods but is public