Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensGoed gekalibreerdWaarschuwing datakwaliteitVerouderde gegevens
Gegevens van 14 jul 2026, 21:10 UTC · beleid pm-quality-3
Huidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingMiami 100%Koploper van 19 uitkomsten
Voorspellers
33
Vraagtype
multiple choice
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 13 dagen geleden
Verouderd1 dec 25, 22:2531 dec 26, 23:59
Trends
Alleen virtueel geld, geen echt geldGeen financieel advies
Gekozen uitkomst
Berkeley40%
Platforms vergelijken· Miami
Gerangschikt op marktkwaliteit, dan liquiditeit en 24-uursvolume| Platform | Kwaliteit | Kans | vs. referentie | Volume 24u | Liquiditeit | Actualiteit | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 KalshiBeste algemeen85% overeenkomst · geverifieerd | Gemiddeld | 89% | — | € 880,5 | € 26,2K | 18 minuten geleden | Openen → |
| Manifold MarketsDeze pagina | — | 100% | — | — | — | 13 dagen geleden |
Ook beschikbaar op Kalshi
Where will Waymo operate in 2026?
8.0 pts5mnd
89%
85%
80%
+7 extra uitkomsten
54 • Gemiddelde kwaliteitBrede spreadHoge liquiditeit
Totaal volume€ 46,2K
24u volume€ 880,5
KALSHIRegels
If the Waymo service area overlaps with the city limits at all, that's good enough.
- If only a minority of people have access, it will resolved based on whether any of them got this access by luck or signing up early, rather than by being Waymo employees, journalists, or famous.
- If the cars arrive with Waymo employees in them, or even in the driver seats, the answer resolves Yes if i can find any credible evidence of 1 trip where it's plausible the car was doing more than half of the driving work.
- If it's hard to find evidence of any such trips, it'll resolve No.
- When Waymo launches somewhere, that answer will resolve Yes.
- If they suspend service etc, it will still stay a Yes.
Vergelijkingsgegevens zijn alleen informatief. Prijzen en liquiditeit kunnen variëren.
Volumetrend
$28213 jul2d aan data14 jul
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If the Waymo service area overlaps with the city limits at all, that's good enough.
- If only a minority of people have access, it will resolved based on whether any of them got this access by luck or signing up early, rather than by being Waymo employees, journalists, or famous.
- If the cars arrive with Waymo employees in them, or even in the driver seats, the answer resolves Yes if i can find any credible evidence of 1 trip where it's plausible the car was doing more than half of the driving work.
- If it's hard to find evidence of any such trips, it'll resolve No.
- When Waymo launches somewhere, that answer will resolve Yes.
- If they suspend service etc, it will still stay a Yes.