KalshiBeschikbaarheid controlerenKYC vereist2% kostenGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige impliciete kans
At least 5% 92%Koploper van 5 uitkomsten
Marktkwaliteit
48 / 100
Lage kwaliteit24u volume
€ 85,9
Liquiditeit
€ 85,9
Lage liquiditeitSpread
1.0 pt
Strakke spreadMarktdata
Bijgewerkt 16 minuten geleden
8 sep 26, 23:00 UTC20 sep 27, 14:00 UTC
Trends
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PolymarketCDU above 5% in 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state election?
Manifold MarketsRegels
If the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimmen) received by CDU in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary election is 5% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
Afwikkeling via:Landeswahlleiter Mecklenburg-Vorpommern
- The percentage is (second votes received by the party ÷ total valid second votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places.
- Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from numerator and denominator.
- Except as provided in the Fully-Conducted Elections and Accelerated Resolution provisions, use certified/official results; unofficial results or media declarations may be used only as those provisions allow.
- If voting is cancelled, suspended, or postponed before it concludes, or no results (certified or unofficial as reported by the Source Agencies) are available by expiration, resolve No, subject to those provisions.
- If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, use the most recent certified percentage.
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary election: CDU vote share??
- Kalshi prijst At least 5% op 92% per 9 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary election: CDU vote share? afgewikkeld?
- Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary election: CDU vote share? wordt naar verwachting op 20 september 2027 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary election: CDU vote share? afgewikkeld?
- Kalshi wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: If the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimmen) received by CDU in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary election is 5% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.