KalshiBeschikbaarheid controlerenKYC vereistGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensGoed gekalibreerdHuidige impliciete kans
One Nation 60%Koploper van 6 uitkomstenMarge-gecorrigeerd: de ruwe noteringen telden op tot boven 100% en zijn genormaliseerd.
One Nation 60%Marktkwaliteit
≤49 / 100
Lage kwaliteit24u volume
—
Open interest
€ 7,7K
Gemiddelde open interestSpread
5.0 pt
Gematigde spreadMarktdata
Bijgewerkt 30 minuten geleden
8 sep 26, 23:00 UTC28 nov 26, 04:59 UTC
Trends
Voorwaarden van het handelsplatform
Bron: Kalshi
Deze voorwaarden zijn ter informatie; voor gesimuleerd handelen bij CoinRithm gelden eigen regels.
- Vervroegde sluiting:
- Ja
- Afwikkelingstermijn:
- 30m (ter informatie)
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Manifold MarketsRegels
If the third-most total seats in the Victorian Legislative Assembly are held by One Nation following the 2026 Victorian state election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Afwikkeling via:Victorian Electoral Commission
- Rankings are determined by total seat count after the election, including seats not contested. A seat is won when the candidate is declared elected by the electoral authority and either the challenge period has expired, legal challenges are resolved, or the member has taken their seat. Party affiliation is based on the party under which the candidate was elected, regardless of later changes. In case of ties for a rank, all tied parties at that rank resolve to Yes with values split proportionally. If a ranking is skipped due to ties (e.g., two parties tie for #1, next is #3), markets for the skipped rank (#2) resolve to No. Unlisted parties or groupings count toward rankings and the tie denominator; if only unlisted parties occupy third place, all listed markets resolve to No.
Regels per uitkomst
- One Nation
- If the third-most total seats in the Victorian Legislative Assembly are held by One Nation following the 2026 Victorian state election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Nationals
- If the third-most total seats in the Victorian Legislative Assembly are held by the Nationals following the 2026 Victorian state election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Greens
- If the third-most total seats in the Victorian Legislative Assembly are held by the Greens following the 2026 Victorian state election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Labor
- If the third-most total seats in the Victorian Legislative Assembly are held by Labor following the 2026 Victorian state election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Liberal
- If the third-most total seats in the Victorian Legislative Assembly are held by Liberal following the 2026 Victorian state election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Victorian Socialists
- If the third-most total seats in the Victorian Legislative Assembly are held by Victorian Socialists following the 2026 Victorian state election, then the market resolves to Yes.