KalshiBeschikbaarheid controlerenKYC vereist2% kostenGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige impliciete kans
At least 54% 48%Koploper van 8 uitkomsten
Marktkwaliteit
41 / 100
Lage kwaliteit24u volume
€ 177,6
Liquiditeit
€ 177,6
Lage liquiditeitSpread
5.0 pt
Gematigde spreadMarktdata
Bijgewerkt 5 minuten geleden
11 sep 26, 14:00 UTC3 nov 27, 14:00 UTC
Trends
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Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
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KalshiRegels
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Abraham Hamadeh in the 2026 AZ-08 House election is 48% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Abraham Hamadeh ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places.
- Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results.
- Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results.
- Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator.
- If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Abraham Hamadeh in the 2026 AZ-08 House election is 50% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
Open markten
Politics
POLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+13.8pt95%
- Yes-13.8pt5%
- Totaal volume
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- 24u volume
- € 2,9 mln.
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)-2.0pt75.3%
- New People (NL)+1.9pt20.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.5pt2%
POLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-0.4pt19%
- Gavin Newsom+4.5pt17%
- Jon Ossoff-0.9pt16%
+48 extra uitkomsten
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff+1.0pt17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom+1.0pt13%
+45 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 189,4 mln.
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+1.2pt36.7%
- Édouard Philippe-1.0pt26.5%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon+0.5pt12.2%
+38 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETWill the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- December 31+0.1pt4%
- April 300%
- June 300%
+3 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- Will the Clarity Act become law?
- Brazil Presidential Election
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Presidential Election Winner 2028
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- 2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- New Hampshire Senate winner?
- Texas Senate winner?
- Which party will win the House in 2026?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor AZ-08 House election: Abraham Hamadeh vote percent?
- Kalshi prijst At least 54% op 48% per 16 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt AZ-08 House election: Abraham Hamadeh vote percent afgewikkeld?
- AZ-08 House election: Abraham Hamadeh vote percent wordt naar verwachting op 3 november 2027 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt AZ-08 House election: Abraham Hamadeh vote percent afgewikkeld?
- Kalshi wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Abraham Hamadeh in the 2026 AZ-08 House election is 48% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.