KalshiBeschikbaarheid controlerenKYC vereistGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige impliciete kans
Before Jan 1, 2027 56%Koploper van 3 uitkomsten
Marktkwaliteit
65 / 100
Gemiddelde kwaliteit24u volume
€ 10,4K
Liquiditeit
€ 6,8K
Gemiddelde liquiditeitSpread
2.0 pt
Strakke spreadMarktdata
Bijgewerkt 7 minuten geleden
22 sep 26, 20:00 UTC1 okt 26, 03:59 UTC
Trends
Voorwaarden van het handelsplatform
Bron: Kalshi
Deze voorwaarden zijn ter informatie; voor gesimuleerd handelen bij CoinRithm gelden eigen regels.
- Vervroegde sluiting:
- Ja
- Afwikkelingstermijn:
- 30m (ter informatie)
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
US x China agree to pace the AI frontier in 2026?
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PolymarketRegels
If the governments of the United States and China have formally announced an agreement to establish, or have implemented, a bilateral notification mechanism for AI incidents that could affect national security after Issuance and the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Afwikkeling via:The Washington PostFox NewsThe Wall Street JournalThe GuardianABCBloomberg NewsCBSSouth China Morning PostNBCthe Associated PressBBCAxiosCNNABC News AustraliaThe InformationSemaforMSNBCCBCReutersPoliticoThe New York Times
- Only reporting from any of the Source Agencies qualifies for the purposes of this market.
- Reports that merely reference prior publications (from before Issuance) do not qualify, unless the new article itself explicitly reaffirms the truth of the topic as of the publication date.
- Republishing of content originally produced by other sources (e.g., wire services) only qualifies if the content is hosted on the outlet's official platform and the outlet is clearly identified as the publishing entity.
- A qualifying mechanism must be a government-to-government arrangement for notifying the other government about relevant AI incidents; general AI dialogue, shared principles, safety cooperation, or a general hotline without the incident-notification function does not satisfy this topic.
- The mechanism must be expressly described in an official government announcement, agreement text, or qualifying Source Agency report as covering AI incidents with national-security implications.
Open markten
ChinaPOLYMARKETWill Xi Jinping visit US by which date?
- September 30+0.4pt100%
- October 31+0.1pt100%
- September 24+0.3pt100%
+3 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 2,8 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 280,2K
KALSHIWhat will Trump say during his remarks at Xi Jinping’s state arrival?
- China (5+ times)-19.0pt56%
- Peace47%
- Melania+12.0pt39%
+24 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 103,8K
POLYMARKETXi Jinping out before 2027?
- No-0.2pt96%
- Yes+0.2pt4%
- Totaal volume
- € 12,2 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 56K
POLYMARKETBest Chinese AI Company end of September?
- Alibaba+1.0pt91.9%
- Moonshot-0.8pt5%
- Z.ai1%
+8 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- No-0.2pt96%
- Yes+0.2pt4%
- Totaal volume
- € 37,4 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 31,2K
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Beijing on September 24?
- 23°C+35.5pt55.2%
- 24°C-0.5pt20%
- 25°C-11.0pt12.4%
+8 extra uitkomsten
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will the U.S. and China agree to establish an AI hotline??
- Kalshi prijst Before Jan 1, 2027 op 56% per 23 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will the U.S. and China agree to establish an AI hotline? afgewikkeld?
- Will the U.S. and China agree to establish an AI hotline? wordt naar verwachting op 1 oktober 2026 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will the U.S. and China agree to establish an AI hotline? afgewikkeld?
- Kalshi wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: If the governments of the United States and China have formally announced an agreement to establish, or have implemented, a bilateral notification mechanism for AI incidents that could affect national security after Issuance and the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.