Which Democrats will underperform Kamala Harris in 2026?
PolitiekOne-OffAmerikaanse politiekVerkiezing2mnd
KalshiBeschikbaarheid controlerenKYC vereistGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensGoed gekalibreerdMiddenprijs van geselecteerd orderboek
Tina Kotek · —
Geselecteerd orderboek laden…
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Opgeslagen prijs
Tina Kotek 94.5%Koploper van 9 uitkomsten
Tina Kotek 94.5%Marktkwaliteit
58 / 100
Gemiddelde kwaliteit24u volume
€ 913
Open interest
US$ 22K
Gemiddelde open interestBied / Laat
— / —
Tina KotekSpread
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Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 7 minuten geleden
28 sep 26, 21:00 UTC4 jan 27, 13:59 UTC
Grafiek en wijzigingen tonen opgeslagen historische kansen, niet het geselecteerde actuele orderboek.
Trends
Geselecteerde rij: middenprijs van het orderboek. Andere rijen: opgeslagen, mogelijk genormaliseerde referenties; wijzigingen over 24 uur gebruiken opgeslagen historie.
Voorwaarden van het handelsplatform
Bron: Kalshi
Deze voorwaarden zijn ter informatie; voor gesimuleerd handelen bij CoinRithm gelden eigen regels.
- Vervroegde sluiting:
- Ja
- Afwikkelingstermijn:
- 30m (ter informatie)
Marktdiepte · Tina Kotek
Geselecteerd orderboek laden…
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Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Which Democrats will underperform Kamala Harris this year?
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KalshiWill Kamala Harris be elected governor of California in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Kamala Harris run for California Governor?
KalshiRegels
If Troy Jackson's certified vote share in the 2026 general election is lower than Kamala Harris's certified 2024 presidential vote share in their state, then the market resolves to Yes.
Afwikkeling via:Federal Election CommissionMaine Secretary of StateOregon Secretary of StateGeorgia Secretary of StateNew York State Board of ElectionsNew Hampshire Secretary of StateMichigan Secretary of Statethe Florida Division of ElectionsMinnesota Secretary of State
- A candidate's 2026 vote share is their share of all votes cast in the November 3, 2026 general election for the listed office, as certified by that state's official election authority, including votes received on every ballot line on which the candidate appears. Where a race uses ranked-choice tabulation or a runoff, the first-round (first-choice) share is used. Kamala Harris's 2024 vote share is her share of that state's certified 2024 presidential vote, including every ballot line on which she appeared, per the Federal Election Commission's official 2024 presidential general election results. Shares are compared unrounded. Offices: Troy Jackson, U.S. Senate (Maine); Tina Kotek, Governor (Oregon); Keisha Lance Bottoms, Governor (Georgia); Kathy Hochul, Governor (New York); Chris Pappas, U.S. Senate (New Hampshire); Abdul El-Sayed, U.S. Senate (Michigan); Angie Nixon, U.S. Senate (Florida); David Jolly, Governor (Florida); Peggy Flanagan, U.S. Senate (Minnesota). A market resolves NO if the listed person is not the Democratic nominee (for Minnesota, the Democratic-Farmer-Labor nominee) on that race's 2026 general-election ballot.
Regels per uitkomst
- Tina Kotek
- If Tina Kotek's certified vote share in the 2026 general election is lower than Kamala Harris's certified 2024 presidential vote share in their state, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Troy Jackson
- If Troy Jackson's certified vote share in the 2026 general election is lower than Kamala Harris's certified 2024 presidential vote share in their state, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Peggy Flanagan
- If Peggy Flanagan's certified vote share in the 2026 general election is lower than Kamala Harris's certified 2024 presidential vote share in their state, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Kathy Hochul
- If Kathy Hochul's certified vote share in the 2026 general election is lower than Kamala Harris's certified 2024 presidential vote share in their state, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Keisha Lance Bottoms
- If Keisha Lance Bottoms's certified vote share in the 2026 general election is lower than Kamala Harris's certified 2024 presidential vote share in their state, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Abdul El-Sayed
- If Abdul El-Sayed's certified vote share in the 2026 general election is lower than Kamala Harris's certified 2024 presidential vote share in their state, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Angie Nixon
- If Angie Nixon's certified vote share in the 2026 general election is lower than Kamala Harris's certified 2024 presidential vote share in their state, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Chris Pappas
- If Chris Pappas's certified vote share in the 2026 general election is lower than Kamala Harris's certified 2024 presidential vote share in their state, then the market resolves to Yes.
- David Jolly
- If David Jolly's certified vote share in the 2026 general election is lower than Kamala Harris's certified 2024 presidential vote share in their state, then the market resolves to Yes.