KalshiBeschikbaarheid controlerenKYC vereist2% kostenGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige impliciete kans
Claude 75.2%+5.0ptKoploper van 9 uitkomstenMarge-gecorrigeerd: de ruwe noteringen telden op tot boven 100% en zijn genormaliseerd.
Marktkwaliteit
65 / 100
Gemiddelde kwaliteit24u volume
€ 10,6K
Liquiditeit
€ 18,8K
Gemiddelde liquiditeitSpread
4.0 pt
Gematigde spreadMarktdata
Bijgewerkt 3 minuten geleden
31 aug 26, 17:3030 sep 26, 14:00
Trends
Regels
If Claude is the #1 model on LM Code Arena Leaderboard on Sep 30, 2026 at 10:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
Afwikkeling via:LMArena Code
- Tied rankings shall be resolved using the publisher's official tie-breaking methodology; if none exists, all tied entities share the highest rank among them.
- If multiple candidates are tied for a given rank, then their Contracts will resolve to $1/(the number of candidates tied), rounded down.
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- If Qwen is the #1 model on LM Code Arena Leaderboard on Sep 30, 2026 at 10:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
Open markten
AI
POLYMARKETOpenAI’s Astra released by which date?
- October 31+0.9pt100%
- September 30+0.9pt100%
- September 15+1.1pt99%
+12 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 1,2 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 593,1K
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-5.1pt58.3%
- ChatGPT+7.0pt24.1%
- Grok+1.0pt7.4%
+5 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 8,8 mln.
POLYMARKETOpenAI's Astra released on?
- September 4+14.9pt20.6%
- September 5+14.9pt15.7%
- September 6+13.2pt13.7%
+27 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETGPT-6 released by which date?
- October 31,+5.8pt100%
- November 30,+3.7pt100%
- December 31,+3.7pt100%
+10 extra uitkomsten
KALSHIWhen will OpenAI release GPT-6?
- Before Sep 16, 2026+14.0pt99%
- Before Oct 1, 2026+9.0pt99%
- Before Nov 1, 2026+6.0pt99%
+4 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude-13.0pt71.2%
- ChatGPT+8.0pt20.2%
- Gemini2.9%
+4 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 159,7K
- Which week will OpenAI release Astra?
- Anthropic IPO by which date?
- When will OpenAI release Astra?
- When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
- Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
- OpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- Which companies will release a Fully AI-generated multi-episode scripted series before 2027?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- AI capability growth this year?
- OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
- When will any company achieve AGI?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Top Coding AI this month (Arena.ai)?
- Kalshi prijst Claude op 75% per 4 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Top Coding AI this month (Arena.ai) afgewikkeld?
- Top Coding AI this month (Arena.ai) wordt naar verwachting op 30 september 2026 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Top Coding AI this month (Arena.ai) afgewikkeld?
- Kalshi wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: If Claude is the #1 model on LM Code Arena Leaderboard on Sep 30, 2026 at 10:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.