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São Paulo Governor winner?

São Paulo Governor winner?

87.0% (24u)One-OffPolitiekVerkiezing1j
KalshiKalshiBeschikbaarheid controlerenKYC vereist2% kosten
Huidige impliciete kans
Kim Kataguiri
Kim Kataguiri 91%+87.0%
Koploper van 6 uitkomsten
Marktkwaliteit

28 / 100

Lage kwaliteit
24u volume

€ 4,9

Liquiditeit

€ 112,2

Lage liquiditeit
Bied / Laat

6.0% / 14.0%

Spread

133.3%

Brede spread
Marktdata

Bijgewerkt 6 minuten geleden

25 apr 26, 14:004 okt 27, 14:00

Trends

Uitkomst24uKans
Paulo Serra
Paulo Serra
0%
Márcio França
Márcio França
0%
Erika Hilton
Erika Hilton
0%

Gekozen uitkomst

Kim Kataguiri91%

PolymarketOok beschikbaar op Polymarket

São Paulo Governor Election Winner

São Paulo Governor Election Winner

0.8%3mnd
Tarcísio de Freitas
Tarcísio de Freitas
-2.5%82%
Kim Kataguiri
Kim Kataguiri
+0.8%13%
Fernando Haddad
Fernando Haddad
+0.3%4%

+22 extra uitkomsten

64 • Gemiddelde kwaliteitBrede spreadHoge liquiditeit
Totaal volume€ 64,1K
24u volume€ 1,9K
PolymarketPOLYMARKET

Regels

If Tarcísio de Freitas wins the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • For parliamentary elections, the party or coalition with the most seats wins.
  • If two parties tie in seats: the one entering government will resolve to YES and all others to NO If both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to YES and all others to NO For coalitions/alliances, only those formally registered with electoral authorities before the nomination deadline count, not post-election governing arrangements Overhang seats, leveling seats, and appointed seats count only if specified
  • For referenda/plebiscites, the specified option achieves the required threshold per applicable law (simple majority, supermajority, dual majority, turnout requirements).
  • If multiple thresholds exist (e.g., majority of votes AND majority of states), all must be met
  • For presidential or direct elections, the candidate who wins according to the electoral system (electoral college, popular vote, or runoff as applicable) and either (i) is inaugurated/sworn in/takes office, or (ii) the scheduled inauguration date passes without a different candidate taking office is the winner.

Vergelijkingsgegevens zijn alleen informatief. Prijzen en liquiditeit kunnen variëren.

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Actief in deze onderwerpen

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Regels

If Tarcísio de Freitas wins the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • For parliamentary elections, the party or coalition with the most seats wins.
  • If two parties tie in seats: the one entering government will resolve to YES and all others to NO If both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to YES and all others to NO For coalitions/alliances, only those formally registered with electoral authorities before the nomination deadline count, not post-election governing arrangements Overhang seats, leveling seats, and appointed seats count only if specified
  • For referenda/plebiscites, the specified option achieves the required threshold per applicable law (simple majority, supermajority, dual majority, turnout requirements).
  • If multiple thresholds exist (e.g., majority of votes AND majority of states), all must be met
  • For presidential or direct elections, the candidate who wins according to the electoral system (electoral college, popular vote, or runoff as applicable) and either (i) is inaugurated/sworn in/takes office, or (ii) the scheduled inauguration date passes without a different candidate taking office is the winner.