KalshiBeschikbaarheid controlerenKYC vereist2% kostenGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige impliciete kans
Tarcísio de Freitas 98%Koploper van 6 uitkomsten
Marktkwaliteit
≤49 / 100
Lage kwaliteit24u volume
—
Liquiditeit
€ 11,3K
Gemiddelde liquiditeitSpread
2.0 pt
Gematigde spreadMarktdata
Bijgewerkt 16 minuten geleden
25 apr 26, 14:00 UTC4 okt 27, 14:00 UTC
Trends
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São Paulo Federal Senate election winners?
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FutuurBrazil 2026 Election: Who will be elected Senator in São Paulo (SP)? (2 seats)
Manifold MarketsRegels
If the named outcome wins the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Afwikkeling via:Tribunal Superior Eleitoral (TSE)
- For parliamentary elections, the party or coalition with the most seats wins.
- If two parties tie in seats: the one entering government will resolve to YES and all others to NO If both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to YES and all others to NO For coalitions/alliances, only those formally registered with electoral authorities before the nomination deadline count, not post-election governing arrangements Overhang seats, leveling seats, and appointed seats count only if specified
- For referenda/plebiscites, the specified option achieves the required threshold per applicable law (simple majority, supermajority, dual majority, turnout requirements).
- If multiple thresholds exist (e.g., majority of votes AND majority of states), all must be met
- For presidential or direct elections, the candidate who wins according to the electoral system (electoral college, popular vote, or runoff as applicable) and either (i) is inaugurated/sworn in/takes office, or (ii) the scheduled inauguration date passes without a different candidate taking office is the winner.
Vergelijking van voorspellingsbronnen
- Ook beschikbaar op Polymarket — São Paulo Governor Election Winner · Tarcísio de Freitas 99%
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor São Paulo Governor winner??
- Kalshi prijst Tarcísio de Freitas op 98% per 22 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt São Paulo Governor winner? afgewikkeld?
- São Paulo Governor winner? wordt naar verwachting op 4 oktober 2027 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt São Paulo Governor winner? afgewikkeld?
- Kalshi wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: If the named outcome wins the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Waar wordt São Paulo Governor winner? nog meer aangeboden?
- Dezelfde vraag wordt ook aangeboden op Polymarket.