South Dakota Republican Governor runoff margin of victory?
85.0 ptn (24u)PolitiekOne-OffUS PoliticsVerkiezing12mnd
KalshiBeschikbaarheid controlerenKYC vereist2% kostenGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensGrof gekalibreerdHuidige impliciete kansLarry Rhoden, ≥12% 86.1%+85.0ptKoploper van 10 uitkomsten
Marktkwaliteit
67 / 100
Gemiddelde kwaliteit24u volume
€ 8K
Liquiditeit
€ 13,1K
Gemiddelde liquiditeitBied / Laat
99.0% / 100.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Strakke spreadMarktdata
Bijgewerkt 40 minuten geleden
4 jun 26, 19:3028 jul 27, 14:00
Trends
Alleen virtueel geld, geen echt geldGeen financieel advies
Gekozen uitkomst
Larry Rhoden, ≥12%99%
Volumetrend
$9.1k2 jul28d aan data29 jul
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If the margin of victory for Toby Doeden in the 2026 South Dakota Republican gubernatorial runoff falls within 12% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The margin of victory is the vote share received by Toby Doeden minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Toby Doeden if Toby Doeden wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Toby Doeden loses.
- If Toby Doeden wins, the margin will be positive; if Toby Doeden loses, the margin will be negative; if Toby Doeden ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.
- Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied.
- For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range.
- If Toby Doeden runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.