Will SCOTUS allow Arizona’s citizenship-proof and pre-election noncitizen-removal rules?
PolitiekOne-OffUS PoliticsVerkiezing2j
KalshiBeschikbaarheid controlerenKYC vereist2% kostenGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensGrof gekalibreerdHuidige impliciete kansJa 61%
Marktkwaliteit
44 / 100
Lage kwaliteit24u volume
€ 0
Liquiditeit
€ 6,6
Lage liquiditeitBied / Laat
62.0% / 67.0%
Spread
5.0 pt
Brede spreadMarktdata
Bijgewerkt 18 minuten geleden
23 jul 26, 14:001 aug 28, 14:00
Trends
Alleen virtueel geld, geen echt geldGeen financieel advies
Gekozen uitkomst
Yes61%
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If the Supreme Court, in Republican National Committee v.
- Mi Familia Vota, rules neither the National Voter Registration Act nor a federal consent decree bars Arizona from requiring satisfactory evidence of U.S. citizenship on its state voter-registration form, and that the Act does not bar Arizona from canceling noncitizens’ registrations within 90 days of a federal election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The Payout Criterion for the Contract encompasses the Expiration Values that the Supreme Court of the United States has ruled that neither the National Voter Registration Act nor a federal consent decree prohibits Arizona from requiring voter-registration applicants using a state registration form to produce satisfactory evidence of U.S. citizenship, and that the National Voter Registration Act does not prohibit Arizona from implementing a program within 90 days of a federal election to cancel the registrations of voters who are not U.S. citizens, after Issuance and before August 1, 2028.
- The market resolves to Yes only if the Court answers both questions in that manner; a split ruling, dismissal, DIG, or remand without a merits ruling satisfying both conditions resolves to No.