KalshiBeschikbaarheid controlerenKYC vereist2% kostenGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige impliciete kans
Eduardo Paes 92.4%Koploper van 4 uitkomstenMarge-gecorrigeerd: de ruwe noteringen telden op tot boven 100% en zijn genormaliseerd.
Marktkwaliteit
48 / 100
Lage kwaliteit24u volume
—
Liquiditeit
€ 1,7K
Lage liquiditeitSpread
4.0 pt
Gematigde spreadMarktdata
Bijgewerkt 3 minuten geleden
25 apr 26, 14:004 okt 27, 14:00
Trends
0%
Regels
If the named outcome wins the 2026 Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Afwikkeling via:Tribunal Superior Eleitoral (TSE)
- For parliamentary elections, the party or coalition with the most seats wins.
- If two parties tie in seats: the one entering government will resolve to YES and all others to NO If both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to YES and all others to NO For coalitions/alliances, only those formally registered with electoral authorities before the nomination deadline count, not post-election governing arrangements Overhang seats, leveling seats, and appointed seats count only if specified
- For referenda/plebiscites, the specified option achieves the required threshold per applicable law (simple majority, supermajority, dual majority, turnout requirements).
- If multiple thresholds exist (e.g., majority of votes AND majority of states), all must be met
- For presidential or direct elections, the candidate who wins according to the electoral system (electoral college, popular vote, or runoff as applicable) and either (i) is inaugurated/sworn in/takes office, or (ii) the scheduled inauguration date passes without a different candidate taking office is the winner.
Vergelijking van voorspellingsbronnen
4 handelsplatforms prijzen deze markt momenteel. De liquiditeitsgewogen referentiekans van CoinRithm voor Eduardo Paes is 92%. De noteringen lopen ongeveer 24 procentpunten uiteen.
CoinRithm-referentie Eduardo Paes 92% · 4 platforms · 24 pt spreiding tussen venues
- Ook beschikbaar op Polymarket — Rio de Janeiro Governor Election Winner · Eduardo Paes 93%
- Ook beschikbaar op Limitless — Rio de Janeiro Governor Election Winner · Eduardo Paes 93%
- Ook beschikbaar op Futuur — Elected Governor of Rio de Janeiro in 2026 · Eduardo Paes 72%
Open markten
Politics
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- JD Vance-1.7pt24%
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Rio de Janeiro Governor winner??
- Kalshi prijst Eduardo Paes op 92% per 4 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Rio de Janeiro Governor winner? afgewikkeld?
- Rio de Janeiro Governor winner? wordt naar verwachting op 4 oktober 2027 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Rio de Janeiro Governor winner? afgewikkeld?
- Kalshi wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: If the named outcome wins the 2026 Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Waar wordt Rio de Janeiro Governor winner? nog meer aangeboden?
- Dezelfde vraag wordt ook aangeboden op Polymarket, Limitless, Futuur.