KalshiBeschikbaarheid controlerenKYC vereist2% kostenGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensGrof gekalibreerdHuidige impliciete kansBefore Jan 20, 2029 50%-9.0pt
Marktkwaliteit
51 / 100
Gemiddelde kwaliteit24u volume
€ 332,7
Liquiditeit
€ 6,5K
Gemiddelde liquiditeitBied / Laat
46.0% / 51.0%
Spread
5.0 pt
Gematigde spreadMarktdata
Bijgewerkt 42 minuten geleden
18 dec 24, 15:0020 jan 29, 15:00
Trends
Alleen virtueel geld, geen echt geldGeen financieel advies
Gekozen uitkomst
Before Jan 20, 202950%
Volumetrend
$3793 jul22d aan data29 jul
Gerelateerde Markten
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
€ 233,3KJa: 24%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
€ 202,9KDecember 31: 88%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
€ 123,3KJa: 10%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
If Trump is elected, will there be a ceasefire in Ukraine before the 2026 midterms?
€ 5,7KJa: 13%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
How many federal judges will be confirmed in Jul 2026?
€ 2,2KAt least 8: 11%KALSHI
KALSHIWho invades first: China (Taiwan) or U.S. (Greenland)?
€ 1,1KChina invades Taiwan first: 11.9%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSActief in deze onderwerpen
Gerelateerd Nieuws
Polymarket: Vance leads 2028 at 19.85% as pricing trend softensBlockchain.News
White House pushes Senate Democrats to take 'historic' crypto Clarity Act ethics dealCoindesk
Senate nears bipartisan CLARITY Act deal after ethics breakthroughCrypto News
White House agrees to ethics provisions in market structure billCointelegraph
Polymarket: US invasion of Iran odds jump to 23.5% after Jordan base claimBlockchain.News
Polymarket prices China–Japan clash at 7.5% after ICC dispute spotlights TokyoBlockchain.NewsRegels
If the United States explicitly and formally recognizes Somaliland as a sovereign state independent from any previously recognized country after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, the market resolves to Yes.
- This could include: opening a U.S. embassy with Somaliland, accepting an ambassador from Somaliland, including the entity as an independent country in U.S.
- Department of State country lists, or signing a formal treaty, bilateral agreement, or communique that explicitly identifies Somaliland as an independent and sovereign state.
- Merely acknowledging a governing authority exists, without recognizing its authority, is insufficient to resolve the market to Yes.
- Establishing a consulate or liaison office without the formal status and language of recognition does not qualify.
- Trade offices, cultural centers, or other non-embassy missions are insufficient.