KalshiBeschikbaarheid controlerenKYC vereist2% kostenGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdWaarschuwing datakwaliteitGeen actuele koersen
Gegevens van 22 sep 2026, 02:07 UTC · beleid pm-quality-3
Huidige impliciete kans
Before Jan 20, 2029 45%
Marktkwaliteit
48 / 100
Lage kwaliteit24u volume
—
Liquiditeit
€ 7,6K
Gemiddelde liquiditeitBied / Laat
8.0% / 12.0%
Spread
4.0 pt
Gematigde spreadMarktdata
Bijgewerkt 6 minuten geleden
14 jan 26, 22:00 UTC1 jan 27, 15:00 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?
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KalshiWill the US recognize Somaliland before 2028?
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PolymarketRegels
If the United States explicitly and formally recognizes Somaliland as a sovereign state independent from any previously recognized country after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, the market resolves to Yes.
Afwikkeling via:White House
- This could include: opening a U.S. embassy with Somaliland, accepting an ambassador from Somaliland, including the entity as an independent country in U.S. Department of State country lists, or signing a formal treaty, bilateral agreement, or communique that explicitly identifies Somaliland as an independent and sovereign state.
- Merely acknowledging a governing authority exists, without recognizing its authority, is insufficient to resolve the market to Yes.
- Establishing a consulate or liaison office without the formal status and language of recognition does not qualify.
- Trade offices, cultural centers, or other non-embassy missions are insufficient.
- Participation alongside the entity in international conferences, humanitarian aid missions, or multilateral forums does not in itself constitute recognition as a sovereign state.
Open markten
US PoliticsPOLYMARKETFed Decision in October?
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- 24u volume
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will Trump recognize Somaliland??
- Kalshi prijst Before Jan 20, 2029 op 45% per 22 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will Trump recognize Somaliland? afgewikkeld?
- Will Trump recognize Somaliland? wordt naar verwachting op 1 januari 2027 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will Trump recognize Somaliland? afgewikkeld?
- Kalshi wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: If the United States explicitly and formally recognizes Somaliland as a sovereign state independent from any previously recognized country after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, the market resolves to Yes.