Which cities will the National Guard deploy to in 2026?
5.0% (24u)YearlyPolitiekUS PoliticsGeopolitiek5mnd
KalshiBeschikbaarheid controlerenKYC vereist2% kostenGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensGrof gekalibreerdHuidige impliciete kansPortland 19%+5.0%Koploper van 6 uitkomsten
Marktkwaliteit
44 / 100
Lage kwaliteit24u volume
€ 5,2
Liquiditeit
€ 4,6K
Gemiddelde liquiditeitBied / Laat
14.0% / 19.0%
Spread
35.7%
Brede spreadMarktdata
Bijgewerkt 17 minuten geleden
23 dec 25, 15:001 jan 27, 15:00
Trends
0%
Alleen virtueel geld, geen echt geldGeen financieel advies
Gekozen uitkomst
Portland19%
Volumetrend
$62 jul23d aan data26 jul
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If the National Guard is deployed to Chicago after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Deployment means National Guard members arrive in Chicago on official deployment orders, under State Active Duty (SAD), Title 32, or Title 10 activation, for operational missions (not routine training), with actual presence in Chicago, not merely assigned or in transit.
- The following constitutes deployment and resolves **YES**:
- - Governor activates Guard with deployment to Chicago - Guard units arrive in Chicago on emergency orders - Federal activation placing Guard in Chicago - Inter-state Emergency Management Assistance Compact (EMAC) deployment to Chicago - Pre-positioned Guard units activated for operations in Chicago - Any number of Guard members (even one) officially deployed
- The following does NOT constitute deployment and resolves **NO**:
- - Deployment announcements without actual arrival - Guard placed on standby/alert status only - Units staged outside Chicago without entering - Training exercises or routine drills - Guard members traveling through Chicago to another destination - Planning/assessment teams without follow-on deployment - Off-duty Guard members acting as civilians - Guard at permanent facilities (armories) not on deployment orders - Recruitment or community relations activities - Canceled deployments that never materialize