KalshiBeschikbaarheid controlerenKYC vereist2% kostenGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige impliciete kans
No other person 52.1%+11.0ptKoploper van 17 uitkomstenMarge-gecorrigeerd: de ruwe noteringen telden op tot boven 100% en zijn genormaliseerd.
Marktkwaliteit
57 / 100
Gemiddelde kwaliteit24u volume
€ 44,1
Liquiditeit
€ 19,1K
Gemiddelde liquiditeitSpread
4.0 pt
Gematigde spreadMarktdata
Bijgewerkt 21 minuten geleden
1 apr 25, 14:0020 jan 29, 15:00
Trends
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Regels
If the next new Secretary of Defense before Jan 20, 2029 is the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Afwikkeling via:The New York Timesthe Associated PressReutersAxiosPoliticoSemaforThe InformationThe Washington PostThe Wall Street JournalABCCBSCNNFox NewsMSNBC
- Acting and Interim positions don't count.
Open markten
US Politics
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.3pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+0.2pt11%
- Jon Ossoff11%
+49 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 601,2 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 743,1K
KALSHIMassachusetts Democratic Senate nominee?
- Ed Markey+1.0pt99%
- Seth Moulton-1.3pt1%
- Ayanna Pressley0%
+1 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 1,9 mln.
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance+2.9pt52%
- Marco Rubio+1.3pt18%
- Ron DeSantis+0.1pt3%
+39 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31+0.9pt61%
- October 31+2.0pt40%
- September 3020%
+17 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-0.1pt20%
- Jon Ossoff-0.1pt16%
- Gavin Newsom15%
+48 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- No-1.0pt83.2%
- Yes+1.0pt16.8%
- Totaal volume
- € 55 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 283,1K
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Who will be Trump's next Secretary of Defense??
- Kalshi prijst No other person op 52% per 1 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Who will be Trump's next Secretary of Defense? afgewikkeld?
- Who will be Trump's next Secretary of Defense? wordt naar verwachting op 20 januari 2029 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Who will be Trump's next Secretary of Defense? afgewikkeld?
- Kalshi wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: If the next new Secretary of Defense before Jan 20, 2029 is the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.