KalshiBeschikbaarheid controlerenKYC vereist2% kostenGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige impliciete kans
Nee 91%
Marktkwaliteit
30 / 100
Lage kwaliteit24u volume
—
Liquiditeit
€ 0,9
Lage liquiditeitBied / Laat
- / 7.0%
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 4 minuten geleden
31 jul 26, 17:05 UTC1 jan 27, 15:00 UTC
Trends
Regels
If Leopold Aschenbrenner is appointed, elected, named, designated, or succeeded to the position as any position for OpenAI before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Open markten
AIKALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max-12.0pt72%
- claude-opus-5-high+2.0pt6%
- claude-opus-4-6-thinking4%
+3 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 135,2K
- 24u volume
- € 102,7K
POLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028+6.5pt62.1%
- 2027-3.5pt28.4%
- 2026+2.0pt9.5%
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,+3.5pt90%
- November 30,85%
+7 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-0.7pt61.4%
- ChatGPT-2.1pt22.8%
- Grok-0.1pt7.9%
+5 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 9,1 mln.
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+3.0pt81.3%
- ChatGPT-1.0pt11.2%
- Grok2.8%
+4 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 325K
POLYMARKETOpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- 1480+-2.5pt66%
- 1490+-9.0pt51%
- 1500+-3.0pt23%
+2 extra uitkomsten
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by which date?
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will Leopold Aschenbrenner return to OpenAI??
- Kalshi prijst No op 91% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will Leopold Aschenbrenner return to OpenAI? afgewikkeld?
- Will Leopold Aschenbrenner return to OpenAI? wordt naar verwachting op 1 januari 2027 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will Leopold Aschenbrenner return to OpenAI? afgewikkeld?
- Kalshi wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: If Leopold Aschenbrenner is appointed, elected, named, designated, or succeeded to the position as any position for OpenAI before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.