KalshiBeschikbaarheid controlerenKYC vereist2% kostenGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige impliciete kans
Before Jan 1, 2029 69.5%Koploper van 4 uitkomstenMarge-gecorrigeerd: de ruwe noteringen telden op tot boven 100% en zijn genormaliseerd.
Marktkwaliteit
39 / 100
Lage kwaliteit24u volume
—
Liquiditeit
€ 1,8K
Lage liquiditeitSpread
8.0 pt
Brede spreadMarktdata
Bijgewerkt 12 minuten geleden
26 aug 26, 19:09 UTC1 jul 27, 03:59 UTC
Trends
0%
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Manifold MarketsNext James Bond movie (#26) [Mega Independent] / Prop bets:
Manifold MarketsRegels
If next James Bond has been publicly released in the USA through official channels before the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Afwikkeling via:DeadlineEntertainment WeeklyFox NewsThe InformationMSNBCSemaforBloomberg NewsThe Wall Street JournalABCThe Hollywood ReporterReutersAxiosIMDbSpotifyNetflixVarietyCNNThe New York TimesNBCPoliticoThe Washington Postthe Associated PressCBS
- This is for the next film in the James Bond series, which goes back to Dr. No (1962); spin-offs and unauthorized productions are not included.
- The media must be made available to the general public through at least one official distribution channel, including theatrical release, streaming availability, physical media (DVD, Blu-ray), or authorized digital purchase/download.
- The release must be accessible without special invitations or industry credentials in at least one major metropolitan area if the geography refers to a country.
- Private screenings, film festivals, leaked content, and torrent availability do not qualify.
- Trailers and soundtracks do not satisfy the criterion unless the full media is released.
Open markten
EntertainmentKALSHIEmmy winner: Outstanding Variety Series
- The Late Show with Stephen Colbert-4.0pt63.9%
- Tie+7.0pt29.6%
- Last Week Tonight with John Oliver-1.0pt2.8%
+3 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 295,1K
- 24u volume
- € 47,9K
POLYMARKET# of views of next MrBeast Gaming video on day 1?
- 15–17.5M+27.5pt54.5%
- 17.5–20M+26.4pt43.6%
- 12.5–15M-14.2pt1%
+4 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETEmmys 2026: Outstanding variety series
- “The Late Show With Stephen Colbert”-0.5pt76.3%
- “Jimmy Kimmel Live!”+2.2pt7.2%
- “The Daily Show”+2.2pt6.2%
+2 extra uitkomsten
KALSHIOscar Winner: Best Picture
- The Odyssey54%
- Dune: Part Three12%
- The Black Ball11%
+37 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 4,5 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 44,3K
KALSHIPractical Magic 2 · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 35+34.0pt99%
- Above 30+1.0pt99%
- Above 2599%
+14 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 219,4K
- 24u volume
POLYMARKETNext James Bond actor?
- No Bond chosen+14.6pt36%
- Jack Lowden-16.6pt20%
- Jack Barton-0.1pt12%
+21 extra uitkomsten
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor James Bond · Release Date?
- Kalshi prijst Before Jan 1, 2029 op 70% per 13 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt James Bond · Release Date afgewikkeld?
- James Bond · Release Date wordt naar verwachting op 1 juli 2027 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt James Bond · Release Date afgewikkeld?
- Kalshi wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: If next James Bond has been publicly released in the USA through official channels before the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.