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Republicans, 3+ pts 79%Koploper van 7 uitkomsten
Marktkwaliteit
42 / 100
Lage kwaliteit24u volume
—
Liquiditeit
€ 495,8
Lage liquiditeitSpread
3.0 pt
Gematigde spreadMarktdata
Bijgewerkt 3 minuten geleden
5 mei 26, 20:22 UTC3 nov 27, 15:00 UTC
Trends
0%
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Regels
If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Florida's 4th District by 3 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
- For percentage points: the vote percentage received by the Republican Party minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind the Republican Party if the Republican Party wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if the Republican Party loses.
- Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.
- No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin.
- For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range.
Open markten
Politics
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- Yes+6.0pt27.7%
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- € 800,1K
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- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt15%
- Gavin Newsom-1.0pt12%
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- June 30, 2027-1.0pt13%
- December7%
- September 30,-0.2pt1%
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KALSHIWill the Clarity Act become law?
- Before Oct 1, 2027+31.0pt74%
- Before Jul 1, 2027+39.0pt70%
- Before Jan 1, 2028+5.0pt53%
+7 extra uitkomsten
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- JD Vance+0.4pt24%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Florida's 4th District margin of victory?
- Kalshi prijst Republicans, 3+ pts op 79% per 14 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Florida's 4th District margin of victory afgewikkeld?
- Florida's 4th District margin of victory wordt naar verwachting op 3 november 2027 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Florida's 4th District margin of victory afgewikkeld?
- Kalshi wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Florida's 4th District by 3 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.