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  3. California Governor Primary margin of victory
California Governor Primary margin of victory

California Governor Primary margin of victory

1.0% (24u)PolitiekOne-OffUS PoliticsVerkiezing1j
KalshiKalshiBeschikbaarheid controlerenKYC vereist2% kosten
Huidige impliciete kans
Xavier Becerra, 3+ pts
Xavier Becerra, 3+ pts 90%-1.0%
Koploper van 3 uitkomsten
Marktkwaliteit

28 / 100

Lage kwaliteit
24u volume

€ 1

Liquiditeit

€ 98

Lage liquiditeit
Bied / Laat

85.0% / 99.0%

Spread

16.5%

Brede spread
Marktdata

Bijgewerkt 9 minuten geleden

4 mei 26, 23:453 nov 27, 15:00

Trends

Uitkomst24uKans

Gekozen uitkomst

Xavier Becerra, 3+ pts90%

PolymarketOok beschikbaar op Polymarket

California Governor Primary Election: Margin of Victory?

California Governor Primary Election: Margin of Victory?

6.0%Gesloten
Becerra <5%
Becerra <5%
+8.0%93%
Becerra 5–10%
Becerra 5–10%
-6.0%6%
Hilton Wins
Hilton Wins
+2.8%3%

+5 extra uitkomsten

64 • Gemiddelde kwaliteitBrede spreadHoge liquiditeit
Totaal volume€ 26,6K
24u volume€ 1,5K
PolymarketPOLYMARKET

Regels

If Xavier Becerra wins the 2026 gubernatorial primary election in California by 1 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
  • For percentage points: the vote percentage received by Xavier Becerra minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Xavier Becerra if Xavier Becerra wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Xavier Becerra loses.
  • Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.
  • No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin.
  • For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range.

Vergelijkingsgegevens zijn alleen informatief. Prijzen en liquiditeit kunnen variëren.

Gerelateerde Markten

Maine Senate margin of victory

Maine Senate margin of victory

€ 34,2
Democrats, 3+ pts: 82%KalshiKALSHI
Texas Senate margin of victory

Texas Senate margin of victory

€ 6,9
James Talarico, 3+ pts: 20%KalshiKALSHI
Texas Senate margin of victory

Texas Senate margin of victory

€ 5,9
Ken Paxton, 3+ pts: 50%KalshiKALSHI
South Carolina Senate margin of victory

South Carolina Senate margin of victory

€ 5,7
Republicans, 9+ pts: 45%KalshiKALSHI
Florida Senate margin of victory

Florida Senate margin of victory

€ 3,2
Republicans, 8+ pts: 97%KalshiKALSHI
North Carolina Senate margin of victory

North Carolina Senate margin of victory

€ 3
Republicans, 1+ pts: 15%KalshiKALSHI

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Regels

If Xavier Becerra wins the 2026 gubernatorial primary election in California by 1 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
  • For percentage points: the vote percentage received by Xavier Becerra minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Xavier Becerra if Xavier Becerra wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Xavier Becerra loses.
  • Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.
  • No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin.
  • For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range.