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  3. Who will go on TBPN this year?
Who will go on TBPN this year?

Who will go on TBPN this year?

TechYearlyBusiness & Corporate6mnd
KalshiKalshiBeschikbaarheid controlerenKYC vereist2% kosten
Huidige impliciete kans
Sam Altman
Sam Altman 79%
Koploper van 8 uitkomsten
Marktkwaliteit

24 / 100

Lage kwaliteit
24u volume

€ 0

Liquiditeit

€ 7,9

Lage liquiditeit
Bied / Laat

60.0% / 72.0%

Spread

20.0%

Brede spread
Marktdata

Bijgewerkt 2 minuten geleden

3 apr 26, 14:001 jan 27, 15:00

Trends

Uitkomst24uKans

Gekozen uitkomst

Sam Altman79%

Regels

If Sam Altman is on TBPN after April 03,2026 at 10:00AM and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • If Sam Altman appears solely in an advertisement, or solely via a prerecorded audioclip that was not recorded for purposes of TBPN (e.g., the host playing a portion of a speech or song excerpt by Sam Altman), the Payout Criterion is not satisfied.
  • If Mark Zuckerberg is on TBPN after April 03,2026 at 10:00AM and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If Mark Zuckerberg appears solely in an advertisement, or solely via a prerecorded audioclip that was not recorded for purposes of TBPN (e.g., the host playing a portion of a speech or song excerpt by Mark Zuckerberg), the Payout Criterion is not satisfied.
  • If Satya Nadella is on TBPN after April 03,2026 at 10:00AM and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If Satya Nadella appears solely in an advertisement, or solely via a prerecorded audioclip that was not recorded for purposes of TBPN (e.g., the host playing a portion of a speech or song excerpt by Satya Nadella), the Payout Criterion is not satisfied.

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Manifold Markets

Harvey AI publicly announces $200M+ ARR by EOY2026?

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Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26?

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Who will acquire Pinterest this year?

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X re-launches Vine this year?

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Ja: 18%KalshiKALSHI

Actief in deze onderwerpen

BitcoinBTC$62,966.77+1.74%SolanaSOL$65.61+1.44%EthereumETH$1,650.46+0.59%DogecoinDOGE$0.0851+1.03%BNBBNB$600.51+1.56%XRPXRP$1.11-0.64%

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Regels

If Sam Altman is on TBPN after April 03,2026 at 10:00AM and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • If Sam Altman appears solely in an advertisement, or solely via a prerecorded audioclip that was not recorded for purposes of TBPN (e.g., the host playing a portion of a speech or song excerpt by Sam Altman), the Payout Criterion is not satisfied.
  • If Mark Zuckerberg is on TBPN after April 03,2026 at 10:00AM and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If Mark Zuckerberg appears solely in an advertisement, or solely via a prerecorded audioclip that was not recorded for purposes of TBPN (e.g., the host playing a portion of a speech or song excerpt by Mark Zuckerberg), the Payout Criterion is not satisfied.
  • If Satya Nadella is on TBPN after April 03,2026 at 10:00AM and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If Satya Nadella appears solely in an advertisement, or solely via a prerecorded audioclip that was not recorded for purposes of TBPN (e.g., the host playing a portion of a speech or song excerpt by Satya Nadella), the Payout Criterion is not satisfied.