Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingElon Musk 100%Koploper van 61 uitkomsten
Voorspellers
32
Vraagtype
multiple choice
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
7d wijziging
0.0 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 2 uur geleden
Verouderd27 nov 25, 00:44 UTC31 dec 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will Dwarkesh Patel interview a current or former US President before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Dwarkesh Patel be a NYT bestselling author before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWho will be guest on the Dwarkesh Patel podcast?
Manifold MarketsUpOnly podcast: Guests this year
KalshiIf Dwarkesh Patel arm wrestled Trenton bricken, would he win?
Manifold MarketsThe Joe Rogan Experience: Guests in 2026
KalshiRegels
Resolves YES to every guest who appears on the podcast.
- The episode must not merely be recorded but also be released to the public, officially, not via a leak, for it to count.
- Any submissions made after the podcast episode is released to the public will be N/A'd.
- Dwarkesh Patel option note
- Will resolve YES if there is an episode where he is interviewed, like the AMA episode from 25th March 2025
- Update 2026-02-05 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Collaborative episodes (where Dwarkesh collaborates with another podcast/creator) will count for resolution purposes if the episode appears on the Dwarkesh podcast feed and YouTube channel.
