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  1. Voorspellingsmarkten
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  3. Makerfield by-election margin of victory?
Makerfield by-election margin of victory?

Makerfield by-election margin of victory?

17.0% (24u)One-OffPolitiekVerkiezing
KalshiKalshiGeslotenBeschikbaarheid controlerenKYC vereist2% kosten

Deze markt is beslist: Andy Burnham, ≥15% (99%)

Afgewikkeld: 19 jun 2026, 03:29

Huidige impliciete kans
Andy Burnham, 3-6%
Andy Burnham, 3-6% 1%-17.0%
Koploper van 10 uitkomsten
Marktkwaliteit

32 / 100

Lage kwaliteit
24u volume

€ 95,9

Liquiditeit

€ 256,6

Lage liquiditeit
Bied / Laat

- / 1.0%

Marktdata

Bijgewerkt 3 uur geleden

Verouderd
26 mei 26, 17:0018 jun 27, 14:00

Trends

Uitkomst24uKans
Andy Burnham, 3-6%
Andy Burnham, 3-6%
-17.0%
1%
Andy Burnham, ≥15%
Andy Burnham, ≥15%
+88.0%
99%
Andy Burnham, 6-9%
Andy Burnham, 6-9%
-20.0%
2%
Andy Burnham, 9-12%
Andy Burnham, 9-12%
-16.0%
2%
Andy Burnham, 0-3%
Andy Burnham, 0-3%
-9.0%
1%
Robert Kenyon, 3-6%
Robert Kenyon, 3-6%
-2.0%
1%

Deze markt is gesloten. Oefenhandel is alleen beschikbaar op open markten.

PolymarketOok beschikbaar op Polymarket

Makerfield by-election: Margin of Victory

Makerfield by-election: Margin of Victory

48.0%
Burnham 9%+
Burnham 9%+
+48.0%100%
Burnham 3-6%
Burnham 3-6%
-13.4%0%
Kenyon <3%
Kenyon <3%
-5.5%0%

+5 extra uitkomsten

100 • Hoge kwaliteitStrakke spreadHoge liquiditeitDicht bij afwikkeling
Totaal volume€ 54,1K
24u volume€ 15,1K
PolymarketPOLYMARKET

Regels

If the margin of victory for Andy Burnham in the 2026 Makerfield by-election falls within 15% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
  • For percentage points: the vote percentage received by Andy Burnham minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Andy Burnham if Andy Burnham wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Andy Burnham loses.
  • For raw votes: the total votes received by Andy Burnham minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Andy Burnham if Andy Burnham wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Andy Burnham loses.
  • For electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Andy Burnham minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Andy Burnham wins, or the electoral votes received by Andy Burnham minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Andy Burnham does not.
  • Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.

Vergelijkingsgegevens zijn alleen informatief. Prijzen en liquiditeit kunnen variëren.

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Regels

If the margin of victory for Andy Burnham in the 2026 Makerfield by-election falls within 15% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
  • For percentage points: the vote percentage received by Andy Burnham minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Andy Burnham if Andy Burnham wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Andy Burnham loses.
  • For raw votes: the total votes received by Andy Burnham minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Andy Burnham if Andy Burnham wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Andy Burnham loses.
  • For electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Andy Burnham minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Andy Burnham wins, or the electoral votes received by Andy Burnham minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Andy Burnham does not.
  • Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.