KalshiGeslotenBeschikbaarheid controlerenKYC vereistGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensGoed gekalibreerdDeze markt is gesloten en wacht op bevestigde afwikkeling.
Wacht op geverifieerde afwikkeling
CoinRithm wacht op door de provider bevestigde afwikkeling voordat deze markt als beslist wordt behandeld.
Huidige impliciete kans
Before Nov 7, 2026 4%Koploper van 3 uitkomsten
Before Nov 7, 2026 4%Marktkwaliteit
32 / 100
Lage kwaliteit24u volume
—
Open interest
US$ 9,6K
Gemiddelde open interestMarktdata
Bijgewerkt 7 minuten geleden
11 aug 26, 00:41 UTC1 sep 26, 03:59 UTC
Trends
Before Nov 7, 20264%
Before Sep 1, 2026Verloren
Before Oct 1, 2026Verloren
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will Christopher Luxon still be Prime Minister of New Zealand when the 2026 general election is held?
Manifold MarketsAndy Burnham announces departure as Prime Minister?
KalshiSébastien Lecornu announces departure as Prime Minister of France?
KalshiJeanine Pirro announces departure as D.C. U.S. Attorney?
KalshiChris Luxon NZ Prime Minister on 1 Feb 2027?
Manifold MarketsChris Luxon NZ Prime Minister on 1 Feb 2027?
Manifold MarketsRegels
De exacte regel voor deze uitkomst is niet beschikbaar.
Afwikkeling via:Christopher LuxonThe Wall Street JournalBloomberg NewsThe Washington Postthe Associated PressFox NewsReutersDepartment of the Prime Minister and Cabinet (New Zealand)CNNthe New York TimesPolitico
- This market resolves based on when the departure is publicly announced or officially communicated, regardless of the effective date. If the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position. If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role. For "leave," cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expulsion, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role—this includes both voluntary and involuntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term.
Regels per uitkomst
- Before Nov 7, 2026
- If Christopher Luxon leaves as Prime Minister of New Zealand before Nov 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Sep 1, 2026
- If Christopher Luxon leaves as Prime Minister of New Zealand before Sep 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Oct 1, 2026
- If Christopher Luxon leaves as Prime Minister of New Zealand before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
