Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Chris Luxon NZ Prime Minister on 1 Feb 2027??

Manifold Markets prijst No op 51% per 28 oktober 2026.

Wanneer wordt Chris Luxon NZ Prime Minister on 1 Feb 2027? afgewikkeld?

Chris Luxon NZ Prime Minister on 1 Feb 2027? wordt naar verwachting op 1 februari 2027 afgewikkeld.

Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Resolution criteria

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12 aug 26, 16:29 UTC1 feb 27, 23:59 UTC

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Resolution criteria

This market resolves YES if Christopher Luxon is the Prime Minister of New Zealand on February 1, 2027.
Resolution will be determined by checking official New Zealand government sources, such as the Beehive website (https://www.beehive.govt.nz/), which lists the current Prime Minister.
Luxon was sworn into office on November 27, 2023, leading the National Party in a coalition government.
The last legal date for the next general election is 19 December 2026, meaning a new Prime Minister could potentially take office between now and February 1, 2027 if an election is held and a different party wins.
Opinion polls show that Luxon's lack of popularity has deepened over his first 18 months in office, though recent polling suggests some stabilization.