Margin of victory in the Hungarian parliamentary election?
Politiek
KalshiGeslotenBeschikbaarheid controlerenKYC vereist2% kostenGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensGrof gekalibreerdDeze markt is beslist: TISZA, 12-15% (97%)
Afgewikkeld: 19 apr 2026, 01:09
Door provider geverifieerde afwikkeling
CoinRithm heeft provider-onderbouwd bewijs voor de winnaar en afwikkelingstijd van deze markt.
Huidige impliciete kansTISZA, 12-15% 91.5%+3.7ptKoploper van 11 uitkomsten
Marktkwaliteit
11 / 100
Lage kwaliteit24u volume
€ 0
Liquiditeit
€ 0
Lage liquiditeitBied / Laat
-
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 111 dagen geleden
Verouderd2 apr 26, 19:0012 apr 27, 14:00
Trends
0.9%
6.6%
0.9%
91.5%
0%
0%
Deze markt is gesloten. Oefenhandel is alleen beschikbaar op open markten.
Platforms vergelijken· TISZA, 12-15%
Gerangschikt op marktkwaliteit, dan liquiditeit en 24-uursvolume| Platform | Kwaliteit | Kans | vs. referentie | Volume 24u | Liquiditeit | Actualiteit | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KalshiDeze paginaBeste algemeen | Laag | 97% | — | € 0 | € 0 | 111 dagen geleden | |
 PredictIt69% overeenkomst · geverifieerd | — | 99% | — | — | — | 105 dagen geleden | Openen → |
Ook beschikbaar op PredictIt
What will be the margin of victory in the Hungarian parliamentary election?
Gesloten
+79.0pt99%
+2.0pt3%
-18.0pt2%
+7 extra uitkomsten
Retail prediction exchange
PREDICTITRegels
If the margin of victory for TISZA in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election falls within 15% to 18%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Note: The party list vote will be used to resolve this market.
- The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
- For percentage points: the vote percentage received by TISZA minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind TISZA if TISZA wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if TISZA loses. For raw votes: the total votes received by TISZA minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind TISZA if TISZA wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if TISZA loses. For electoral votes: the electoral votes received by TISZA minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if TISZA wins, or the electoral votes received by TISZA minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if TISZA does not.
- Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If TISZA runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural TISZA will be summed.
- If TISZA wins the election, the margin will be positive. If TISZA loses the election, the margin will be negative. If TISZA ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where TISZA is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).
Vergelijkingsgegevens zijn alleen informatief. Prijzen en liquiditeit kunnen variëren.
Gerelateerde Markten
2028 Democratic presidential nominee
€ 979,1KKamala Harris: 10%KALSHI
KALSHI
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
€ 893,2KRobert F. Kennedy Jr.: 49%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
€ 861,3KJuly 18: 100%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Presidential Election Winner 2028
€ 532,2KJD Vance: 20%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?
€ 317,7KTulsi Gabbard: 1%KALSHI
KALSHI
What companies will Trump say in July?
€ 186KFox News: 61%KALSHI
KALSHIActief in deze onderwerpen
Gerelateerd Nieuws
Ripple’s other ledger: What $48 million in politics buysCrypto News
Polymarket Account in Farage Backer's Name Took $9M in Crypto From Unknown Sources: FTDecrypt
Polymarket odds lift Lula to 60.5% in Brazil race as Russia sanctions vote nearsBlockchain.News
Polymarket odds jump: US-Iran invasion risk hits 30.5% after tariff newsBlockchain.NewsPolymarket 2028 odds: Vance leads at 19.85% as voter-roll claims circulateBlockchain.News
Polymarket odds lift Le Pen to 31% in 2027 French election marketBlockchain.NewsRegels
If the margin of victory for TISZA in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election falls within 15% to 18%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Note: The party list vote will be used to resolve this market.
- The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
- For percentage points: the vote percentage received by TISZA minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind TISZA if TISZA wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if TISZA loses. For raw votes: the total votes received by TISZA minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind TISZA if TISZA wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if TISZA loses. For electoral votes: the electoral votes received by TISZA minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if TISZA wins, or the electoral votes received by TISZA minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if TISZA does not.
- Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If TISZA runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural TISZA will be summed.
- If TISZA wins the election, the margin will be positive. If TISZA loses the election, the margin will be negative. If TISZA ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where TISZA is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).