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Gegevens van 8 sep 2026, 18:00 UTC · beleid pm-quality-3
Huidige impliciete kans
At least 20% 0%Koploper van 8 uitkomsten
Marktkwaliteit
34 / 100
Lage kwaliteit24u volume
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Liquiditeit
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Liquiditeit onbekendSpread
6.0 pt
Brede spreadMarktdata
Bijgewerkt 4 minuten geleden
1 sep 26, 21:00 UTC31 dec 27, 15:00 UTC
Trends
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Regels
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Labour Party in the 2026 Holborn and St Pancras by-election is 20% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
Afwikkeling via:London Borough of Camden
- The percentage is (votes received by the party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded.
- Except as provided in the Fully-Conducted Elections provision, use certified/official results; qualifying unofficial results may be used only under that provision.
- Write-in votes in the result are included.
- Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from numerator and denominator.
- If multiple rounds occur, use the specified round or first round if none is specified.
Open markten
Politics
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
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POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
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KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
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POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Holborn and St Pancras by-election: Labour Party vote percent?
- Kalshi prijst At least 20% op 0% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Holborn and St Pancras by-election: Labour Party vote percent afgewikkeld?
- Holborn and St Pancras by-election: Labour Party vote percent wordt naar verwachting op 31 december 2027 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Holborn and St Pancras by-election: Labour Party vote percent afgewikkeld?
- Kalshi wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Labour Party in the 2026 Holborn and St Pancras by-election is 20% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.