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US GDP growth in Q1 2026?

US GDP growth in Q1 2026?

2.5% (24u)3mnd
KalshiKalshiAlleen inwoners van de VSKYC vereist2% kosten
Marktkwaliteit 55Gemiddelde kwaliteitDunne markt196 pt verschil

Alerts

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Beslissingsondersteuning

Huidige impliciete kans

Above 1.0% 89%

Marktkwaliteit

55 / 100

Gemiddelde kwaliteit
Bied / Laat

89.0% / 90.0%

Marktdata

Bijgewerkt 6 minuten geleden

Laatst bijgewerkt: 6 apr, 0:20

Beslist op

30 jul 2026, 14:00

24u volume

€ 142,7

Liquiditeit

€ 2,3K

Spread

1.1%

Strakke spread
7d wijziging

-

Lage liquiditeitDunne markt
Gestart 24 jan 2026, 15:00Eindigt 30 jul 2026, 14:00

Trends

Geen grafiekgegevens beschikbaar.
Uitkomst24uKans
Above 1.0%
Above 1.0%
-2.5%89%
Above 1.5%
Above 1.5%
-6.0%70%
Above 2.5%
Above 2.5%
-2.5%41%
Above 2.0%
Above 2.0%
-2.7%57%
Above 3.0%
Above 3.0%
-2.0%18%
Above 4.5%
Above 4.5%
-0.4%2%
Above 3.5%
Above 3.5%
-1.0%9%
Above 4.0%
Above 4.0%
-0.8%4%
Polymarket

Ook beschikbaar op Polymarket

196 pt verschil
KalshiKalshi
Laatst bijgewerkt: 6 minuten geleden
Above 1.0%
89%
Above 1.5%
70%
Above 2.0%
57%
Above 2.5%
41%
Volume

€ 4,3K

Volume 24u

€ 142,7

Liquiditeit

€ 2,3K

Spread: Strakke spreadLiquiditeit: Lage liquiditeit
Alleen inwoners van de VSKYC vereist2% kostenVerrekent in USD
PolymarketPolymarket
Laatst bijgewerkt: 20 minuten geleden
Above 1.0%
▼ 89pt-
Above 1.5%
▼ 70pt-
Above 2.0%
▼ 57pt-
Above 2.5%
▼ 41pt-
Volume

€ 204,8K

Volume 24u

€ 841,8

Liquiditeit

€ 18,8K

Spread: Brede spreadLiquiditeit: Lage liquiditeit
Niet beschikbaar in de VSGeen KYC2% kostenVerrekent in USDC
Vergelijkingsgegevens zijn alleen informatief. Prijzen en liquiditeit kunnen variëren.

Regels

If real GDP (as measured by the BEA’s seasonally adjusted and annualized Advance Estimate) increases by more than 1.0, then the market resolves to Yes.

  • The market will close at 8:29 AM on the day of the expected release of the data. The market will expire at the first 10:00 AM following the release of the data for Q1 2026, or 3 months following that expected date of data release. Please note the Expiration Value is the one-decimal value published by the BEA.
  • If real GDP (as measured by the BEA’s seasonally adjusted and annualized Advance Estimate) increases by more than 1.5, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If real GDP (as measured by the BEA’s seasonally adjusted and annualized Advance Estimate) increases by more than 2.0, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If real GDP (as measured by the BEA’s seasonally adjusted and annualized Advance Estimate) increases by more than 2.5, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If real GDP (as measured by the BEA’s seasonally adjusted and annualized Advance Estimate) increases by more than 3.0, then the market resolves to Yes.