KalshiBeschikbaarheid controlerenKYC vereist2% kostenGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige impliciete kans
Before December 1, 2026 16%-37.0ptKoploper van 5 uitkomsten
Marktkwaliteit
65 / 100
Gemiddelde kwaliteit24u volume
€ 107,1
Liquiditeit
€ 123,6K
Hoge liquiditeitSpread
1.0 pt
Strakke spreadMarktdata
Bijgewerkt 2 minuten geleden
22 aug 26, 21:00 UTC1 nov 26, 15:00 UTC
Trends
0%
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by which date?
PolymarketWill Miguel Díaz-Canel be leader of Cuba on January 1st 2027?
Manifold MarketsCuba's Miguel Díaz-Canel captured or killed in 2026
Manifold MarketsWill Miguel Díaz-Canel be leader of Cuba on January 1st 2027?
Manifold MarketsDíaz-Canel still President of Cuba through the end of 2026?
FutuurUS federally charges Cuba leader Miguel Diaz-Canel by which date?
PolymarketRegels
If Miguel Díaz-Canel leaves office the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Afwikkeling via:The New York Timesthe Associated PressReutersAxiosPoliticoSemaforThe InformationThe Washington PostThe Wall Street JournalABCCBSCNNFox NewsMSNBC
- An announcement that the Miguel Díaz-Canel will leave the office within the next year is also encompassed by the Payout Criterion.
- If Miguel Díaz-Canel leaves solely because they have died, the associated market will resolve and the Exchange will determine the payouts to the holders of long and short positions based upon the last traded price (prior to the death).
- If a last traded price is not available or is not logically consistent, or if the Exchange determines at its sole discretion that the last traded prices prior to death do not represent a fair settlement value, the Outcome Review Committee will be responsible for making a binding determination of fair allocation.
- Clarification (05/23/26): To clarify, Miguel Díaz-Canel currently holds two positions relevant to this market: First Secretary of the Communist Party of Cuba and President of Cuba.
- For purposes of this contract, departure from either position will satisfy the Payout Criterion.
Vergelijking van voorspellingsbronnen
Open markten
PoliticsPOLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+12.0pt81.2%
- Yes-12.0pt18.8%
- Totaal volume
- € 15,1 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 1 mln.
POLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+1.3pt19%
- Jon Ossoff+0.8pt17%
- Gavin Newsom+0.5pt13%
+48 extra uitkomsten
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- D-House, D-Senate+3.0pt50%
- D-House, R-Senate-2.0pt34%
- R-House, R-Senate-3.0pt14%
+1 extra uitkomsten
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt15%
- Gavin Newsom13%
+45 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 188,6 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 675,8K
KALSHILos Angeles Mayor winner?
- Karen Bass-2.0pt63%
- Nithya Raman+3.0pt37%
- Totaal volume
- € 27,6 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 642,6K
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Flávio Bolsonaro+1.5pt52.5%
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-2.0pt45.5%
- Renan Santos+0.1pt2%
+16 extra uitkomsten
- Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- Will the Clarity Act become law?
- Next French Presidential Election
- 2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?
- Which party will win the U.S. Senate?
- Presidential Election Winner 2028
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- Texas Senate winner?
- Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Miguel Díaz-Canel departure announced??
- Kalshi prijst Before December 1, 2026 op 16% per 15 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Miguel Díaz-Canel departure announced? afgewikkeld?
- Miguel Díaz-Canel departure announced? wordt naar verwachting op 1 november 2026 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Miguel Díaz-Canel departure announced? afgewikkeld?
- Kalshi wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: If Miguel Díaz-Canel leaves office the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Waar wordt Miguel Díaz-Canel departure announced? nog meer aangeboden?
- Dezelfde vraag wordt ook aangeboden op Polymarket.