KalshiBeschikbaarheid controlerenKYC vereist2% kostenGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensGrof gekalibreerdHuidige impliciete kansBefore September 1, 2026 5%-1.2ptKoploper van 4 uitkomsten
Marktkwaliteit
72 / 100
Gemiddelde kwaliteit24u volume
€ 721,9
Liquiditeit
€ 256,3K
Hoge liquiditeitBied / Laat
1.0% / 2.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Strakke spreadMarktdata
Bijgewerkt 17 minuten geleden
12 mei 26, 20:001 aug 26, 14:00
Trends
0%
Alleen virtueel geld, geen echt geldGeen financieel advies
Gekozen uitkomst
Before August 1, 20262%
Platforms vergelijken· Before September 1, 2026
Gerangschikt op marktkwaliteit, dan liquiditeit en 24-uursvolume| Platform | Kwaliteit | Kans | vs. referentie | Volume 24u | Liquiditeit | Actualiteit | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KalshiDeze paginaBeste algemeen | Gemiddeld | 5% | — | € 721,9 | € 256,3K | 17 minuten geleden | |
 Polymarket80% overeenkomst · geverifieerd | Gemiddeld | 30% | — | € 569,8 | € 14,7K | 17 minuten geleden | Openen → |
Ook beschikbaar op Polymarket
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by which date?
0.5 ptsGesloten
-0.5pt30%
-0.2pt0%
0%
62 • Gemiddelde kwaliteitGematigde spreadGemiddelde liquiditeitHoge ambiguïteit
Totaal volume€ 1,8 mln.
24u volume€ 569,8
POLYMARKETRegels
If Miguel Díaz-Canel leaves office before June 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- An announcement that the Miguel Díaz-Canel will leave the office within the next year is also encompassed by the Payout Criterion.
- If Miguel Díaz-Canel leaves solely because they have died, the associated market will resolve and the Exchange will determine the payouts to the holders of long and short positions based upon the last traded price (prior to the death).
- If a last traded price is not available or is not logically consistent, or if the Exchange determines at its sole discretion that the last traded prices prior to death do not represent a fair settlement value, the Outcome Review Committee will be responsible for making a binding determination of fair allocation.
- Clarification (05/23/26): To clarify, Miguel Díaz-Canel currently holds two positions relevant to this market: First Secretary of the Communist Party of Cuba and President of Cuba.
- For purposes of this contract, departure from either position will satisfy the Payout Criterion.
Vergelijkingsgegevens zijn alleen informatief. Prijzen en liquiditeit kunnen variëren.
Volumetrend
$8222 jul26d aan data27 jul
Gerelateerde Markten
Venezuela leader end of 2026?
€ 153,6KNicolás Maduro: 83%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Brazil Presidential Election
€ 151,1KLuiz Inácio Lula da Silva: 64%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place
€ 10,7KFlávio Bolsonaro: 77%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Brazil Presidential election winner?
€ 6,8KRomeu Zema: 1%KALSHI
KALSHI
Who will officially lead Venezuela at the end of 2026?
€ 3,1KDelcy Rodríguez: 15%KALSHI
KALSHI
🇧🇷 President in Jan 2027 is Lula, or whoever he endorses / Lula ou seu indicado é presidente em janeiro de 2027
€ 1,8KJa: 63%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSActief in deze onderwerpen
Gerelateerd Nieuws
Kalshi, Polymarket win pause against Minnesota's prediction market banCoindesk
CFTC seeks urgent ruling on Minnesota prediction market banCrypto News
Ripple’s other ledger: What $48 million in politics buysCrypto News
Polymarket Account in Farage Backer's Name Took $9M in Crypto From Unknown Sources: FTDecrypt
Polymarket odds lift Lula to 60.5% in Brazil race as Russia sanctions vote nearsBlockchain.News
Polymarket odds jump: US-Iran invasion risk hits 30.5% after tariff newsBlockchain.NewsRegels
If Miguel Díaz-Canel leaves office before June 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- An announcement that the Miguel Díaz-Canel will leave the office within the next year is also encompassed by the Payout Criterion.
- If Miguel Díaz-Canel leaves solely because they have died, the associated market will resolve and the Exchange will determine the payouts to the holders of long and short positions based upon the last traded price (prior to the death).
- If a last traded price is not available or is not logically consistent, or if the Exchange determines at its sole discretion that the last traded prices prior to death do not represent a fair settlement value, the Outcome Review Committee will be responsible for making a binding determination of fair allocation.
- Clarification (05/23/26): To clarify, Miguel Díaz-Canel currently holds two positions relevant to this market: First Secretary of the Communist Party of Cuba and President of Cuba.
- For purposes of this contract, departure from either position will satisfy the Payout Criterion.