KalshiBeschikbaarheid controlerenKYC vereist2% kostenGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige impliciete kans
Nee 79%
Marktkwaliteit
47 / 100
Lage kwaliteit24u volume
—
Liquiditeit
€ 3,7K
Gemiddelde liquiditeitBied / Laat
21.0% / 28.0%
Spread
7.0 pt
Brede spreadMarktdata
Bijgewerkt 10 minuten geleden
27 feb 26, 20:00 UTC1 jan 27, 04:59 UTC
Trends
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Manifold MarketsClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
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KalshiRegels
If any tech company officially announces One-time layoff greater than 40% of employees before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Afwikkeling via:The Washington PostABCCBSCNNMSNBCNBCthe Securities and Exchange Commission EDGAR databaseThe New York TimesThe Wall Street JournalBloomberg NewsReutersthe Associated PressCNBCAxiosPoliticoThe Information
- The announcement must be made through official company channels including press releases, SEC filings (8-K, 10-K, 10-Q), earnings calls, investor presentations, verified social media accounts, or official statements to media subsequently confirmed by the company.
- CEO statements through official channels qualify.
- Rumors, speculation, unconfirmed reports, leaked information, third-party announcements without company confirmation, and preliminary discussions do not qualify.
- The announcement must occur after market issuance.
- Companies are tracked through rebranding and name changes representing the same business entity.
Open markten
RegulationPOLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+9.0pt80.2%
- Yes-9.0pt19.8%
- Totaal volume
- € 15,2 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 1,1 mln.
KALSHIWill the Clarity Act become law?
- Before Jan 1, 2028-5.0pt53%
- Before Oct 1, 2027-11.0pt53%
- Before Jul 1, 2027+15.0pt39%
+7 extra uitkomsten
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027-3.0pt89%
- Before Mar 1, 2027-5.0pt86%
- Before Feb 1, 2027-6.0pt81%
+9 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 15,-0.5pt85%
- December 31,-3.0pt84%
- November 30,-2.0pt76%
+7 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETWhich Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
- Jacky Rosen+0.5pt38%
- Kirsten Gillibrand+9.0pt37%
- Ruben Gallego-14.5pt35%
+12 extra uitkomsten
KALSHIHow many Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
- Above 50-7.0pt54%
- Above 55-22.0pt42%
- Above 58-8.0pt38%
+5 extra uitkomsten
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor One-time layoff greater than Block (40% of employees) in tech??
- Kalshi prijst No op 79% per 15 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt One-time layoff greater than Block (40% of employees) in tech? afgewikkeld?
- One-time layoff greater than Block (40% of employees) in tech? wordt naar verwachting op 1 januari 2027 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt One-time layoff greater than Block (40% of employees) in tech? afgewikkeld?
- Kalshi wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: If any tech company officially announces One-time layoff greater than 40% of employees before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.