KalshiGeslotenBeschikbaarheid controlerenKYC vereist2% kostenGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdDeze markt is beslist: Reform UK (99%)
Afgewikkeld: 14 aug 2026, 10:10
Door provider geverifieerde afwikkeling
CoinRithm heeft provider-onderbouwd bewijs voor de winnaar en afwikkelingstijd van deze markt.
Huidige impliciete kans
Reform UK 96.1%Koploper van 5 uitkomstenMarge-gecorrigeerd: de ruwe noteringen telden op tot boven 100% en zijn genormaliseerd.
Marktkwaliteit
≤49 / 100
Lage kwaliteit24u volume
€ 60,6K
Liquiditeit
€ 680,9K
Hoge liquiditeitMarktdata
Bijgewerkt 18 dagen geleden
Verouderd7 jul 26, 23:001 sep 27, 14:00
Waarschijnlijkheidstijdlijn
Restore Britain1%
Count Binface Party2%
Reform UK99%
96.1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
Regels
If the named outcome wins the 2026 Clacton by-election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Afwikkeling via:Tendring District Council
- This market may resolve early once a consensus of designated media sources has declared a winner.
- See full rules for details.
Open markten
PoliticsKALSHIMassachusetts Democratic Senate nominee?
- Ed Markey+0.7pt100%
- Seth Moulton-0.6pt0%
- Ayanna Pressley0%
+1 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 3,4 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 2 mln.
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez17.4%
- Jon Ossoff-1.0pt16.3%
- Gavin Newsom+1.0pt14.3%
+45 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 180,4 mln.
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.3pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+0.2pt11%
- Jon Ossoff11%
+49 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva56%
- Flávio Bolsonaro-0.3pt39%
- Renan Santos+0.7pt3%
+16 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+20 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-0.2pt61%
- October 31+1.5pt39%
- September 30-1.0pt20%
+17 extra uitkomsten
- Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Next French Presidential Election
- Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- 2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Clacton by-election winner??
- Kalshi prijst Reform UK op 96% per 14 augustus 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Clacton by-election winner? afgewikkeld?
- Clacton by-election winner? wordt naar verwachting op 1 september 2027 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Clacton by-election winner? afgewikkeld?
- Kalshi wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: If the named outcome wins the 2026 Clacton by-election, then the market resolves to Yes.