Brazil presidential runoff: who will win the vote abroad?
13.0 ptn (24u)PolitiekOne-OffVerkiezingLatijns-Amerika1j
KalshiBeschikbaarheid controlerenKYC vereistGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensGoed gekalibreerdHuidige impliciete kans
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva 52.6%-13.0ptMarge-gecorrigeerd: de ruwe noteringen telden op tot boven 100% en zijn genormaliseerd.
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva 52.6%-13.0ptMarktkwaliteit
67 / 100
Gemiddelde kwaliteit24u volume
€ 1,3K
Open interest
€ 2,6K
Gemiddelde open interestBied / Laat
50.0% / 51.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Strakke spreadMarktdata
Bijgewerkt 4 minuten geleden
5 okt 26, 21:00 UTC25 okt 27, 14:00 UTC
Trends
Voorwaarden van het handelsplatform
Bron: Kalshi
Deze voorwaarden zijn ter informatie; voor gesimuleerd handelen bij CoinRithm gelden eigen regels.
- Vervroegde sluiting:
- Ja
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- 30m (ter informatie)
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Manifold MarketsBrazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place Abroad
PolymarketRegels
If Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finishes in 1st place in the Exterior zone (Brazilian voters abroad) in the 2026 Brazilian presidential runoff according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
Afwikkeling via:Tribunal Superior Eleitoral (TSE)
- Ranking is determined by the specified counting method: Rank is based on runoff vote totals only In case of exact ties, markets resolve proportionally (1/number of tied entities). Write-in candidates achieving the specified rank resolve all named candidate markets to NO unless a specific "Write-in" or "Other" option exists. Candidates who withdraw or are disqualified after the filing deadline but remain on the ballot are ranked based on votes received. If the election is cancelled or postponed beyond expiration, all markets resolve to NO. The Exterior zone is the Tribunal Superior Eleitoral (TSE) results unit for votes cast by Brazilian voters outside Brazil; ranking uses its runoff totals, regardless of the national result.
Regels per uitkomst
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
- If Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finishes in 1st place in the Exterior zone (Brazilian voters abroad) in the 2026 Brazilian presidential runoff according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Flávio Bolsonaro
- If Flávio Bolsonaro finishes in 1st place in the Exterior zone (Brazilian voters abroad) in the 2026 Brazilian presidential runoff according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.