KalshiBeschikbaarheid controlerenKYC vereist2% kostenGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige impliciete kans
Flávio Bolsonaro, 5-10% 54%Koploper van 11 uitkomsten
Marktkwaliteit
59 / 100
Gemiddelde kwaliteit24u volume
€ 108,4
Liquiditeit
€ 10,9K
Gemiddelde liquiditeitSpread
1.0 pt
Strakke spreadMarktdata
Bijgewerkt 11 minuten geleden
23 apr 26, 04:00 UTC4 okt 27, 14:00 UTC
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Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Brazil presidential election: first round winner?
KalshiBrazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place
KalshiBrazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place
KalshiBrazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory
LimitlessBrazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place
PolymarketBrazil Presidential Election First Round Winner
PolymarketRegels
If the margin of victory for Lula da Silva in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election falls within 0% to 5%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.
Afwikkeling via:Tribunal Superior Eleitoral (TSE)
- The margin of victory is the vote share received by Lula da Silva minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Lula da Silva if Lula da Silva wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Lula da Silva loses.
- If Lula da Silva wins, the margin will be positive; if Lula da Silva loses, the margin will be negative; if Lula da Silva ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.
- Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied.
- For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range.
- If Lula da Silva runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.
Vergelijking van voorspellingsbronnen
- Ook beschikbaar op Polymarket — Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory · Lula da Silva <5% 41%
- Ook beschikbaar op Limitless — Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory · Lula da Silva <5% 40%
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory?
- Kalshi prijst Flávio Bolsonaro, 5-10% op 54% per 9 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory afgewikkeld?
- Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory wordt naar verwachting op 4 oktober 2027 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory afgewikkeld?
- Kalshi wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: If the margin of victory for Lula da Silva in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election falls within 0% to 5%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Waar wordt Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory nog meer aangeboden?
- Dezelfde vraag wordt ook aangeboden op Polymarket, Limitless.