Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory
6.0% (24u)One-OffPolitiekVerkiezingLatin America1j
KalshiBeschikbaarheid controlerenKYC vereist2% kostenHuidige impliciete kansLula da Silva, 5-10% 15%-6.0%Koploper van 11 uitkomsten
Marktkwaliteit
28 / 100
Lage kwaliteit24u volume
€ 0
Liquiditeit
€ 6,3
Lage liquiditeitBied / Laat
15.0% / 22.0%
Spread
46.7%
Brede spreadMarktdata
Bijgewerkt 10 minuten geleden
23 apr 26, 4:004 okt 27, 14:00
Trends
0%
0%
Gekozen uitkomst
Lula da Silva, 5-10%15%
Ook beschikbaar op Polymarket
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory
5.2%3mnd
-2.5%34%
+3.5%32%
-2.0%11%
+8 extra uitkomsten
64 • Gemiddelde kwaliteitBrede spreadHoge liquiditeitHoge ambiguïteit
Totaal volume€ 207,1K
24u volume€ 257,2
POLYMARKETRegels
If the margin of victory for Lula da Silva in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election falls within 0% to 5%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
- For percentage points: the vote percentage received by Lula da Silva minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Lula da Silva if Lula da Silva wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Lula da Silva loses.
- For raw votes: the total votes received by Lula da Silva minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Lula da Silva if Lula da Silva wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Lula da Silva loses.
- For electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Lula da Silva minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Lula da Silva wins, or the electoral votes received by Lula da Silva minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Lula da Silva does not.
- Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.
Vergelijkingsgegevens zijn alleen informatief. Prijzen en liquiditeit kunnen variëren.
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If the margin of victory for Lula da Silva in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election falls within 0% to 5%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
- For percentage points: the vote percentage received by Lula da Silva minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Lula da Silva if Lula da Silva wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Lula da Silva loses.
- For raw votes: the total votes received by Lula da Silva minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Lula da Silva if Lula da Silva wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Lula da Silva loses.
- For electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Lula da Silva minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Lula da Silva wins, or the electoral votes received by Lula da Silva minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Lula da Silva does not.
- Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.