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Berlin State Election

Berlin State Election

One-OffPolitiekVerkiezing1j
KalshiKalshiBeschikbaarheid controlerenKYC vereist2% kosten
Huidige impliciete kans
CDU
CDU 32%
Koploper van 7 uitkomsten
Marktkwaliteit

24 / 100

Lage kwaliteit
24u volume

€ 0

Liquiditeit

€ 4,8

Lage liquiditeit
Bied / Laat

29.0% / 35.0%

Spread

20.7%

Brede spread
Marktdata

Bijgewerkt 1 minuut geleden

17 mei 26, 14:0020 sep 27, 14:00

Trends

Uitkomst24uKans

Gekozen uitkomst

CDU32%

PolymarketOok beschikbaar op Polymarket

Berlin State Election Winner

Berlin State Election Winner

1.0%3mnd
CDU
CDU
+1.0%30%
Linke
Linke
+1.0%22%
Grüne
Grüne
+0.1%22%

+21 extra uitkomsten

80 • Hoge kwaliteitGematigde spreadHoge liquiditeitHoge ambiguïteit
Totaal volume€ 2,3 mln.
24u volume€ 4,2K
PolymarketPOLYMARKET

Regels

If CDU wins the 2026 Berlin state election, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • For parliamentary elections, the party or coalition with the most seats wins.
  • If two parties tie in seats: the one entering government will resolve to YES and all others to NO If both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to YES and all others to NO For coalitions/alliances, only those formally registered with electoral authorities before the nomination deadline count, not post-election governing arrangements Overhang seats, leveling seats, and appointed seats count only if specified
  • For referenda/plebiscites, the specified option achieves the required threshold per applicable law (simple majority, supermajority, dual majority, turnout requirements).
  • If multiple thresholds exist (e.g., majority of votes AND majority of states), all must be met
  • For presidential or direct elections, the candidate who wins according to the electoral system (electoral college, popular vote, or runoff as applicable) and either (i) is inaugurated/sworn in/takes office, or (ii) the scheduled inauguration date passes without a different candidate taking office is the winner.

Vergelijkingsgegevens zijn alleen informatief. Prijzen en liquiditeit kunnen variëren.

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Actief in deze onderwerpen

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Regels

If CDU wins the 2026 Berlin state election, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • For parliamentary elections, the party or coalition with the most seats wins.
  • If two parties tie in seats: the one entering government will resolve to YES and all others to NO If both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to YES and all others to NO For coalitions/alliances, only those formally registered with electoral authorities before the nomination deadline count, not post-election governing arrangements Overhang seats, leveling seats, and appointed seats count only if specified
  • For referenda/plebiscites, the specified option achieves the required threshold per applicable law (simple majority, supermajority, dual majority, turnout requirements).
  • If multiple thresholds exist (e.g., majority of votes AND majority of states), all must be met
  • For presidential or direct elections, the candidate who wins according to the electoral system (electoral college, popular vote, or runoff as applicable) and either (i) is inaugurated/sworn in/takes office, or (ii) the scheduled inauguration date passes without a different candidate taking office is the winner.